Saturday, October 30, 2010

Halliburton shares gyrate after spill report

HOUSTON (Reuters) – Halliburton Co (HAL.N) shares fell as much as 5.3 percent before rebounding on Friday, a day after a government panel said the oilfield service company used flawed cement on the BP Plc (BP.L)(BP.N) well that blew out in the Gulf of Mexico, causing the worst offshore oil spill in U.S. history.

Meanwhile, a New Orleans federal judge overseeing litigation on the Deepwater Horizon project ordered Halliburton to turn over cement to federal investigators.

"No destructive testing on the cementing components will be conducted without further order of the court," Judge Carl Barbier wrote in his October 27 order, released on Friday.

Investors worried about Halliburton's liability sent the shares down as much as 16 percent on Thursday after the White House panel issued its report and a letter.

Halliburton vigorously defended its actions in a lengthy statement issued Thursday night, saying there were significant differences between the company's tests on the cement used in the Macondo well and the government's tests.

"Just like Chucky the horror movie doll, Macondo just won't go away," Houston-based energy research firm Tudor, Pickering Holt and Co said in a note to clients on Friday.

"(The) letter to presidential commission from investigating law firm brought cement quality issue back into play as variable, taking $2.5 billion out of Halliburton's market cap in the process no fax payday loans."

The report may cause some analysts to back away from Halliburton shares and may cause some diversified portfolio managers to sell, Tudor, Pickering said.

This would be a mistake, the research firm said, because Halliburton has strong indemnity in place.

Halliburton was hired by BP to perform the cementing operations to seal the well, which ruptured on April 20. The blowout killed 11 workers who were on the Transocean Ltd (RIG.N) rig contracted to drill the well.

Halliburton said responsibility for the disaster lies with BP, saying the British oil major did not do a key test to determine the integrity of the cement job.

"BP, as the well owner and operator, decided not to run a cement bond log test even though the appropriate personnel and equipment were on the rig and available to run that test," Halliburton said in its statement.

The drop in Halliburton's stock is "ridiculous" because BP, as operator of the project, had the final say on the job, Capital One Southcoast said in its morning note to clients.

In afternoon trading, Halliburton shares were up 23 cents at $31.91, after earlier falling as low as $29.99.

(Reporting by Anna Driver in Houston; Additional reporting by Jonathan Stempel in New York; editing by John Wallace)

Halliburton shares gyrate after spill report

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Asian stocks rebound while yen unmoved by BOJ

SYDNEY (Reuters) – Asian stocks rebounded on Thursday after having suffered their biggest one-day fall in four months, while the yen held firm against a broadly weaker dollar, taking details of the Bank of Japan's stimulus plan in its stride.

European shares took their cue from Asia with London's FTSE 100 index (.FTSE) gaining 0.7 percent at the open and Germany's DAX (.GDAXI) climbing 0.5 percent. U.S. stock index futures were all up between 0.1 and 0.2 percent.

The BOJ said it would meet next week, bringing forward the November 15-16 policy meeting to speed up the launch of a 5 trillion yen ($61 billion) asset buying plan aimed at helping the economy cope with a strong yen.

It kept interest rates unchanged near zero as widely expected.

"What stands out is that the BOJ rescheduled its next meeting, bringing it forward, which suggests the central bank wants to make sure it can take action if needed after the FOMC," said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute, referring to the U.S. central bank meeting on November 2-3.

The MSCI index of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 0.7 percent (.MIAPJ0000PUS), having slid nearly 2 percent on Wednesday to post its biggest one-day percentage fall since late June. Still, it remained close to a 28-month high hit last week.

Financial markets have been volatile this week as speculation intensifies over how much the Federal Reserve is likely to spend to pump up a faltering recovery and whether such new measures will be carried out swiftly or phased in over time.

Analysts expect choppy market action to persist in the lead up to next week's meeting.

Market participants have begun to scale back expectations of the size of any additional stimulus with The Wall Street Journal reporting on Wednesday that Fed officials wanted to avoid a "shock and awe" approach.

"I think the Fed is trying to prepare the market for incremental QE2 and this whole pre-announcement, in a way, is to cushion the impact if it comes out on November 3rd that it is only $100 billion rather than $1-$2 trillion," said V. Anantha-Nageshwaran, CIO of Julius Baer in Hong Kong.

Asian governments are worried about the impact this might have on their economy. South Korean Finance Minister Yoon Jeung-hyun said on Thursday the government needs to guard against a potential asset bubble caused by excessive liquidity. Japan's Nikkei stock average ( no faxing 1 hour payday loans.N225), which was spared the selloff seen in the region on Tuesday, slipped 0.2 percent to end at a six-week low, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index (.HSI) gained 0.3 percent and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.8 percent.

Among the top performers, shares in Canon Inc (7751.T) rallied more than 3 percent after the world's largest maker of digital cameras posted strong quarterly results and raised its full-year outlook.

In Australia, upbeat earnings helped drive ANZ shares (ANZ.AX) up about 3 percent, while bourse operator ASX (ASX.AX) climbed 1.5 percent after two days of sharp losses due to uncertainty over Singapore Exchange's (SGXL.SI) $7.9 billion bid.

The MSCI's emerging market stock benchmark (.MSCIEF) rose 0.2 percent.

The selloff in commodities also halted with copper, which dropped more than $200 a metric ton on Tuesday, its steepest decline since late June, gaining $30 to $8,330 a metric ton.

U.S. light sweet crude oil was little changed at $82.00 per barrel, while spot gold was also steady near $1,326.00 an ounce.

DOLLAR SAGS

The U.S. dollar eased against a basket of six major currencies (.DXY) after two straight days of gains helped the index climb back into positive territory for 2010.

The euro rose to $1.3833 from $1.3764 late in New York, while the dollar eased to 81.42 yen from 81.69 yen, hovering not far from a record low of 79.75 yen.

The dollar's decline also coincided with a pullback in U.S. Treasury yields, which gained sharply in the past few sessions as the market scaled back expectations of the size of Fed's likely asset purchase program.

The U.S. 10-year yield was last at 2.69 percent, down from a one-month high of 2.73 percent set on Wednesday.

"Overall, we still see the risk for the FOMC next week is going to be toward U.S. dollar strength once the dust settles," said Sue Trinh, senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Hong Kong.

"Much of the market is pretty much expecting $100 billion per month for the next six months or so. So we'll need to see asset purchases in excess of that in order to generate fresh U.S. dollar weakness."

(Additional reporting by Vikram Subhedar in Hong Kong; Editing by Nick Macfie)

Asian stocks rebound while yen unmoved by BOJ

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Stock futures dip; home price, confidence data eyed

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Stock index futures dipped on Tuesday, the day after the market hit a five-and-a-half month high, while the dollar steadied.

Corporate earnings will be in focus as DuPont and Co (DD.N) posted higher-than-expected profit as sales rose across all business units, while Ford Motor Co (F.N) posted a profit that exceeded estimates and said it expected to eliminate its net debt by year-end.

Late Monday, Texas Instruments Inc (TXN.N) warned that fourth-quarter revenue will be hurt by slowing demand, but quarterly results topped expectations.

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY.N) is also due to report later Tuesday.

Equities and the dollar have formed an inverse relationship exacerbated by expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will embark on another round of economic stimulus. The greenback steadied Tuesday, with investors wary of pushing it lower. The dollar index (.DXY) was up 0.2 percent.

Stocks rose to a five-and-a-half month high on Monday as a falling dollar, partly driven by expectations of further Fed stimulus, prompted investors to buy riskier assets payday loans for bad credit.

S&P 500 futures dipped 1.6 points and were below fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract. Dow Jones industrial average futures slipped 25 points, and Nasdaq 100 futures gave up 4.50 points.

Economic data on tap includes October consumer confidence and the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index for August. Consumer confidence is expected to rise to 49.2 from 48.5 the month before, while the home price index is forecast to fall 0.2 percent, compared with a 0.1 percent drop in July.

In Europe, UBS AG (UBSN.VX)(UBS.N) reported an unexpected investment banking loss, sending its U.S.-listed shares down 4 percent to $17.20 in premarket trading.

(Reporting by Leah Schnurr; editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

Stock futures dip; home price, confidence data eyed

Hot News: Oil falls to near $82 before US crude supply data

Sunday, October 24, 2010

Green Column: Calculating Commitment to the Climate

BRUSSELS — There was a surge of optimism at the Copenhagen climate conference, when the U.S. secretary of state, Hillary Rodham Clinton, backed an international aid package worth hundreds of billions of dollars to help poor countries counter threats like rising seas and desertification.

The surprise announcement by the United States to join the European Union and other wealthy nations in making the pledges represented a singular moment of global cohesion during an event remembered more for its unremitting acrimony.

The pledges, inscribed in the Copenhagen Accord, a nonbinding pact that has been signed by about 140 countries, also represented an unprecedented attempt to overcome one of the thorniest problems that has plagued international climate talks: recurrent complaints by poor countries that developed nations, grown prosperous by burning fossil fuels, are behaving hypocritically by demanding emissions limits in the future.

The money would allow poor nations, in particular small island states and African countries, to finance infrastructure projects like better defenses to fend off rising seas and help buildings withstand storms, floods, heat waves and mudslides associated with climate change.

Poor nations could use the funds to develop technologies like wind, hydro and solar power, so they could grow economically using cleaner, but more expensive, alternatives to fossil fuels.

A so-called fast-start fund worth $10 billion annually would operate until 2012. For long-term finance, developed countries agreed to support a goal of jointly mobilizing $100 billion a year by 2020 to address the needs of developing countries.

A key problem is the amounts are much lower than many experts say is necessary to help poor countries adapt to climate change and develop cleaner technologies.

Another problem is that the Copenhagen Accord did not specify who would pay or how the money would be raised, at a time when most rich-world governments face unprecedented pressures to shore up their own budgets and find ways of supporting their own industries in the wake of agonizing debt and banking crises.

Apparently wary that big donors could delay commitments, Christiana Figueres, the head of the U.N. climate office, said last month that making good on the pledges was “the golden key” to unlocking progress at the global climate meeting in Cancún, Mexico, next month.

So far, the job of calculating what governments have given has proved challenging.

A Web site developed by the Dutch government and managed by the U.N. Development Program has recorded pledges for the fast-start funds of about $7.6 billion, far short of the $30 billion goal. But only a few countries — including Canada, Germany, Britain and Norway — have participated in that project.

The World Resources Institute, which is based in Washington and operates another online tracking tool that does not depend on governments’ sharing information, has a much bigger figure. It said pledges add up to about $28 billion, which is just shy of the $30 billion target for fast-start funds.

But the institute underlined how some donors might have simply renamed existing aid budgets or counted previous pledges of climate finance, even though the Copenhagen Accord specifies that financing be “new and additional electronic check payday advance.”

The institute pointed out that a Japanese pledge called the Hatoyama Initiative resembled a previously announced plan agreed to several years ago. That is significant because Japan has promised half the total, or around $15 billion, according to the institute. Britain and the United States have also counted previous commitments as part of their fast-start finance pledge, the institute said.

Another complaint by climate experts and academics is the difficulty of comparing contributions and how they will be deployed.

There was “no specified baseline that would allow anyone to know if the promise has actually been fulfilled,” said J. Timmons Roberts, the director of the Center for Environmental Studies at Brown University in Rhode Island.

Those difficulties, and others, over fast-start financing suggest that wealthy nations will face even more obstacles delivering on the larger promise of $100 billion annually in new aid by 2020.

To avoid that scenario, in February, the U.N. secretary general, Ban Ki-moon, created the Advisory Group on Climate Change Financing to come up with “new and innovative” options for finding the money. That group is expected to submit a report to Mr. Ban by next month.

But in what amounts to a pre-emptive strike on the forthcoming report, environmental activists including Friends of the Earth stepped up a campaign early this month to discourage the group from advocating policies emphasizing the role of private finance, like carbon trading, to generate the money.

In a letter to the chairmen of the advisory group — Jens Stoltenberg, the prime minister of Norway, and Meles Zenawi, the prime minister of Ethiopia — the activists said that carbon trading could prove to be a particularly undependable source of revenue, and they warned that it presented “a serious risk of fraud” if emissions reductions turned out to be spurious.

Instead, the activists urged the group to prioritize raising taxes on activities like international financial transactions, and to find ways of making the shipping and aviation industries pay for their pollution, like levies on fuel and tickets.

Nicholas Stern, a professor at the London School of Economics and a member of the advisory group, has already signaled that the advisory group has little choice but to reserve a strong role for the private sector to raise the money.

In light of the global economic situation, Mr. Stern suggested that investments by multilateral banks and revenue from carbon markets were currently among the most promising ways of raising substantial sums of money.

As to new taxes — in particular, a tax on international financial transactions — Mr. Stern, speaking at an August U.N. meeting in Bonn in a rare briefing on the advisory group’s work, gave strong hints that they would be unworkable.

“Political acceptability does matter,” said Mr. Stern, adding that a financial transaction tax had proved “particularly controversial.”

Green Column: Calculating Commitment to the Climate

Friday, October 22, 2010

Verizon profit falls on pension charge

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Verizon Communications Inc (VZ.N) posted a decline in quarterly revenue after a July rural phone line sale and its profit fell due to a large pension-related settlement.

Verizon said its third-quarter profit fell to $881 million, or 31 cents per share from $1.18 billion, or 41 cents a share in the same quarter a year earlier. It said that the latest quarter included 25 cents per share in non-operational charges included a pension related settlement.

Revenue fell to $26.48 billion from $27.27 billion in the year-ago quarter, before its sale this summer of wireline assets to Frontier Communications (FTR.N), slightly ahead of the average analyst estimate for $26.35 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S pay day loans.

It said Verizon Wireless, its venture with Vodafone Group Plc (VOD.L), added 584,000 monthly bill-paying customers in the quarter compared with the average expectation for 580,000 from six analysts contacted by Reuters.

In comparison, its biggest rival AT&T Inc (T.N) reported postpaid net additions of 745,000 the day before, boosted by Apple Inc's (AAPL.O) iPhone [ID:nN21128876].

Verizon Wireless, the biggest U.S. mobile operator, is depending for customer growth on cellphones based on Google Inc's (GOOG.O) Android.

(Reporting by Sinead Carew; editing by Derek Caney)

Verizon profit falls on pension charge

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

After Hours: Yahoo moves up, Cree slides in late trade

LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) — Yahoo Inc. shares turned higher late Tuesday while shares of Cree Inc. slid in heavy volume after the LED-maker’s outlook fell short of Wall Street’s expectations.

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Shares of Cree and Juniper Networks Inc. each stood out during the session as they fell sharply.

Cree  shares fell 8.7% to $48.40 after the company forecast second-quarter revenue of $270 million to $280 million, below the current FactSet Research estimate of $296.3 million. It also expects adjusted per-share earnings of 56 cents to 60 cents. Wall Street is looking for 59 cents a share.

Cree posted first-quarter profit of $58 million, or 53 cents, from $21 million, or 23 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Excluding one-time items, the company said earnings would have been 60 cents a share. Revenue rose to $268.4 million from $169.1 million in the year-ago period. Analysts had expected 58 cents a share on revenue of $277.5 million.

Yahoo  shares recently rose 1.7% to $15.76, and have spent much of the session swinging between gains and losses. The company posted third-quarter net revenue of $1.12 billion, down slightly from $1.13 billion in the year-ago period. Analysts polled by FactSet Research had expected net revenue of $1.13 billion.

Net income rose to $396.1 million, or 29 cents a share, from $186.1 million, or 13 cents a share, in the year-ago period. The company’s earnings included a 13 cents-a-share benefit from the sale of HotJobs. Analysts had expected Yahoo to report third-quarter earnings of 15 cents a share guaranteed approval cash advance loans. Read more about Yahoo’s report

Juniper Networks  shares pared deeper losses, but still remain lower, by 4.6% to $29.14. The company said third-quarter revenue rose 23% to $1.01 billion from the year-ago period. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had expected sales of $1.02 billion. Adjusted earnings for the latest period were 32 cents a share, matching expectations.

Looking ahead to Apple event

A new version of Apple's computer operating software, coming out Wednesday, is part of the company's aggressive move to lure more corporate customers.

Profit at Juniper jumped to $134.5 million, or 25 cents a share, compared with $83.8 million, or 16 cents a share, for the same period last year.

Ahead of the late-trading session, U.S. stocks were hammered after the release of disappointing corporate financial reports and an unexpected interest-rate hike in China. Read more about U.S. market action.

But shares of Boston Scientific Corp.   moved higher, up 3% to $6.15, after the company forecast fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of 15 cents to 18 cents a share on revenue of $1.93 billion to $2 billion. Analysts currently expect 10 cents a share on sales of $2 billion.

Boston Scientific swung to a third-quarter profit of $190 million, or 12 cents a share. In the year-ago period, the company lost $94 million, or 6 cents a share. Excluding one-time items, the medical device maker would have reported earnings of 19 cents a share. Revenue fell to $1.92 billion from $2.03 billion a year ago. Wall Street had expected earnings of 6 cents a share on revenue of $1.92 billion.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average  tumbled 165 points to end below the 11,000 level. The S&P 500 Index  fell 1.6% to 1,165.90 and the Nasdaq Composite  dropped 1.8% to 2,436.95.

After Hours: Yahoo moves up, Cree slides in late trade

Monday, October 18, 2010

Economic Report: Builder confidence climbs in October

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Builder confidence rose for the first time in October in five months, according to a report released Monday that nonetheless showed conditions at a weak level.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo housing market index rose 3 points to 16 in October to bring the gauge to the same level as June. Economists polled by MarketWatch expected the gauge to remain stuck at 13.

U.S. Week Ahead: Apple, IBM, Seagate to report

Apple earnings highlight a busy schedule of financial results in the U.S. week ahead.

All three of the index’s components — current sales conditions, sales expectations and traffic of prospective buyers — rose.

The report measures confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes, and any number over 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor. The housing market index hasn’t been above 50 since April 2006 no credit check payday loans.

“The new-homes market is finally moving past the lull that occurred when the home buyer tax credits expired and economic growth stalled this summer,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe in a statement.

“While challenges such as competition from foreclosures, inaccurate appraisal values, and general consumer uncertainty about the economy and job market continue to be major factors, builders have seen a slight increase in consumers who are considering a home purchase. The toughest obstacles really come down to financing – the scarcity of construction credit for builders along with tougher mortgage requirements for consumers.”

Economic Report: Builder confidence climbs in October

Saturday, October 16, 2010

World Stock Markets Mixed Ahead of Bernanke Speech

Filed at 4:48 a.m. ET on October 15, 2010

SINGAPORE (AP) — World stock markets were mixed Friday as investors readied for a speech from the U.S. Federal Reserve chairman that could give insight into plans for boosting the No. 1 economy.

Chinese stocks bucked the lackluster trend with the Shanghai Composite Index vaulting more than 3 percent on expectations that Beijing's upcoming five-year plan will focus on increasing domestic spending power — a boost for the state-owned companies that dominate the stock market.

Sentiment elsewhere in Asia was damped by the strong yen and by a disappointing jobs report, which added weight to the view high unemployment will continue to drag on an already weak recovery in the world's largest economy. Initial claims for unemployment aid rose by 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 462,000, the U.S. Labor Department said Thursday.

Investors were also awaiting speech by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke that could give more details of new action to stimulate the U.S. economy. The Fed's next meeting in early November is widely expected to announce measures to shore up growth, including the central bank buying government bonds to lower long-term interest rates.

In early European trading, Germany's DAX was up 0.2 percent at 6,470.76. France's CAC-40 rose 0.2 percent to 3,826.30 while the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was down 0.2 percent at 5,714.19.

Wall Street was set to fall slightly. Dow futures were off 3 points at 11,049.00 and broader S&P futures slipped 0.3 point to 1,173.20.

Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 stock average lost 83.26 points, or 0.9 percent, to 9,500.29 after jumping almost 2 percent the previous day. Exporters lost ground amid ongoing anxiety about the strong yen, which hit another 15-year high against the dollar Thursday.

China's benchmark index in Shanghai surged 3.2 percent to 2,971.16. Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., or ICBC, climbed 6.6 percent. China Vanke Co., the nation's biggest property developer, added 1.6 percent.

"State-owned market heavyweights led the rise as investors believe in their good profitability in the long-term," said Wei Daoke, an analyst at Shenyin & Wanguo Securities, in Shanghai low fee payday advance.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 0.4 percent to 23,757.63 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 closed down 0.2 percent at 4,689.00.

Elsewhere, Seoul's Kospi rose 0.1 percent to 1,902.29 and Singapore's stock gauge added 0.5 percent to 3,211.27. Benchmarks in Taiwan, India, Malaysia and Indonesia dropped.

Some economists are optimistic that growing consumer demand will help Asia maintain strong economic growth rates and offset a sluggish recovery in developed economies.

"Easy money and sound fundamentals are supercharging domestic demand in Asia, helping the region to ride out the impending weakness in exports to the West," HSBC said in a report.

But others are concerned the region may have to contend with too much of a good thing as a tide of foreign cash threatens to spark asset bubbles and inflation. China's foreign reserves grew $194 billion to $2.7 trillion in the third quarter from the second, the largest jump in a decade.

"With expectation of prolonged low rates in advanced nations, Asian central banks will face growing risk of excessive capital inflows as investors seek higher returns in faster growing Asian countries," Citigroup said.

The Dow Jones industrial average ended Thursday down 1.51 points at 11,094.57. The market made up earlier losses as investors anticipated that the Federal Reserve will take steps soon to strengthen the U.S. economy.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 4.29, or 0.36 percent, to 1,173.81. The Nasdaq composite index fell 5.85, or 0.2 percent, to 2,435.38.

In currencies, the dollar slipped to 81.14 yen from 81.56 late Thursday in New York. The euro rose to $1.4108 from $1.4038.

Benchmark crude for November delivery was down 1 cent at $82.68 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract lost 32 cents to settle at $82.69 a barrel on Thursday.

___

AP researcher Ji Chen in Shanghai contributed.

World Stock Markets Mixed Ahead of Bernanke Speech

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Indications: U.S. stock futures slip as dollar drops

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stock futures reversed early gains to post a modest decline Thursday after economic data pointed to higher jobless claims and inflation.

The government’s count of Americans filing initial claims for unemployment benefits rose by 13,000 to 462,000 last week, an unexpected increase that indicates ongoing trouble in the labor market.

A separate report had wholesale-level inflation edging up 0.4% in September, while the so-called core producer price index, which excludes energy and food costs, up 0.1%.

Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average  fell 15 points to 11,029. and S&P 500 futures  dipped 1.8 points to 1,172.5.

Nasdaq 100 futures  lost 1.75 points to 2,054.25.

U.S. markets posted their fourth successive rise Wednesday, following upbeat reports from several industry giants. The Dow industrials  closed up nearly 76 points, or 0.7%.

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The biggest earnings news Thursday will come from Internet-search giant Google Inc.  after markets close.

Rival Yahoo Inc.  rallied 13% in premarket trading after The Wall Street Journal reported that AOL Inc.  and several private-equity firms are considering a possible takeover bid.

The potential deal could involve Yahoo selling its roughly 40% stake in Chinese Internet giant Alibaba and other assets, the report said payday advance lender. See story on the possible move for Yahoo.

Other companies set to announce results include Advanced Micro Devices Inc. , also after the closing bell.

The dollar fell sharply amid growing expectations that more quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve is just around the corner. The latest decline follows surprise tightening measures from the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

“Momentum remains one-sided against the dollar as a new wave of selling overnight triggered by [Singapore] pushed the greenback through key support levels,” said Lloyds TSB economist Kenneth Broux in a note to clients.

“Asset markets in general are transfixed by what the Fed will do next and until we hear from [Ben] Bernanke directly tomorrow in his speech on monetary policy, we see no imminent turnaround in positive risk trends as U.S. corporates make a promising start to third-quarter earnings,” he added.

Gold extended gains, with the December futures contract rising as high as $1,388.10 an ounce in electronic trading.

Meanwhile, shares in Apollo Group Inc.  are set to come under pressure after the company said late Wednesday that it was withdrawing its business outlook for 2011.

European stocks were mixed, while Asian markets finished with strong gains. The French CAC 40 index  slipped 0.1%, and Japan’s Nikkei 225 Average closed up 1.9%.

Indications: U.S. stock futures slip as dollar drops

Hot News: Stocks and Bonds: Improved Earnings Help Buoy Wall Street

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Serious deflation unlikely absent crisis: Hoenig

DENVER (Reuters) – Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Hoenig said on Tuesday he does not expect the U.S. economy to experience a damaging downward price spiral unless there is a new shock to the system.

"A drive in deflation like (during) the Great Depression is extremely harmful. That is an unlikely outcome unless we have a crisis," he said in response to questions after a speech.

The Federal Reserve -- the U.S. central -- has signaled it is ready pump more cash into the economy to boost growth, reduce the 9.6 percent unemployment rate and lift inflation from undesirably low levels payday lenders.

"As desperate as I am to see unemployment drop down, I don't want to take short-term measures that I don't think in the long run will solve that problem" and may in fact make it worse, he told the National Association of Business Economics.

(Reporting by Ann Saphir; Writing by Mark Felsenthal and Jason Lange; Editing by James Dalgleish)

Serious deflation unlikely absent crisis: Hoenig

Sunday, October 10, 2010

Chuck Jaffe: Know when to dump a losing fund

BOSTON (MarketWatch) — One of the big questions mutual fund shareholders can face is how long to put up with a struggling manager.

Investors everywhere just got a good answer to that question from a surprising source: the Vanguard Group. Vanguard is the world’s largest mutual fund firm, known for low-cost indexed investments that at least generate the return of the fund’s benchmark. As of the end of June, according to the company, only five of the company’s funds had underperformed its benchmark over the last decade.

‘Forever cautious’ about stocks

Perkins Capital Management, one of the few equity mutual fund firms to generate gains in the past decade, is "forever cautious," portfolio manager Tom Perkins tells MarketWatch reporter Alistair Barr.

So when Vanguard fired a manager of one of those lagging funds late last week, it sent a double message to investors.

On one hand, the decision shows “best practices” — the adverse conditions to look for before dumping a manager.

On the other, it suggests that even good investors sometimes put up with bad management for way too long.

Chances are, investors can learn both lessons at the same time.

Vanguard US Growth Fund   has been the loud barking dog in the Vanguard kennel for a long time. Over the past decade, US Growth has been slaughtered, turning a $10,000 investment into $4,850, according to investment research firm Morningstar Inc. That puts the fund in the bottom 5% of its peer group over that time, but the fund has been below-average over all meaningful time periods.

Since June 2001, a team from Alliance Bernstein has been the key manager for the fund, first running the portfolio by itself and, since 2004, sharing responsibilities with William Blair. Since 2008, the AllianceBernstein team working on US Growth has been in an almost-constant state of flux; while managerial change sometimes creates reason for hope, the persistent changes at Alliance Bernstein just created confusion.

Vanguard could not miss the fact that performance was suffering. The fund had $11.6 billion in assets when Alliance Bernstein took charge, and that’s down to $3.7 billion. All of Vanguard’s other growth funds have more in assets today than they did in 2001, according to Dan Wiener, editor of The Independent Advisor for Vanguard Investors newsletter. Management clearly took notice — none of the company’s independent directors had money in the fund.

Yet Alliance Bernstein remained in charge.

Price of loyalty

Ask most fund experts how long to hold a fund or when to dump a laggard and the answers vary. There has to be a track record that creates a sense of confidence, one that enables you to sit through times when the fund may be out of sync with the market cycle, or where the fund’s asset class is in a holding pattern overnight pay day loans. Management has to have a strategy or proven plan that makes the shareholder believe that patience will be rewarded.

If performance relative to peers is dreadful, most money managers would suggest you dump the fund in short order, typically after a year of underperformance, two years at the most.

Now Vanguard US Growth had all of those problems — and gave no reason to expect a change — for the better part of the past nine years.

Still, Vanguard stood pat.

Ultimately, Vanguard cited an “accumulation of circumstances” for finally pulling the plug. The press release announcing the change ripped Alliance Bernstein hard (although the firm is still employed by Vanguard as a sub-advisor on some foreign and value investments).

But when the announcement said that Vanguard’s “rigorous and disciplined process for selecting and monitoring fund advisors” was a key contributor to the long-term record of its actively managed funds, you had to wonder just how rigorous the firm had been with US Growth. There’s nothing particularly disciplined about letting a manager deliver bottom-of-the-barrel performance for years; in fact, that’s the opposite of applying a vigorous investment process with a clear selling point.

Now Vanguard is rejiggering the fund’s management again. William Blair will retain control of one-third of the portfolio, with Wellington Management and Delaware Investments running a third each.

Normally when there’s a management change, experts suggest sticking around to see if something positive comes from the new structure. In the case of US Growth, there’s no compelling reason to hang around, and there hasn’t been for years. It’s as if Vanguard was asleep at the switch on this fund and only just woke up; that’s hardly going to inspire confidence in shareholders.

“It’s just unbelievable how long this went on,” Wiener said. “You might expect average investors to buy a big-name fund and hang on to it for too long, but for Vanguard to have just looked the other way for so long, it really makes you wonder. … If a fund is in a reasonable range of its peers, you can give it a chance to turn things around for awhile, but if it’s shown that it is consistently bad, then you have to make a change. Vanguard, of all management companies, should have known that and acted that way.”

Chuck Jaffe: Know when to dump a losing fund

Friday, October 8, 2010

Treasury: 8.1M hires qualify for new tax break

WASHINGTON – Businesses have hired 8.1 million workers under a new program that provides tax breaks for hiring unemployed workers, the Treasury Department said Friday.

The report, however, does not estimate how many of those jobs would have been added without the tax break.

President Barack Obama signed a law in March that exempts businesses hiring people who have been unemployed for at least 60 days from paying the 6.2 percent Social Security payroll tax through December. Employers get an additional $1,000 credit if new workers stay on the job a full year.

Treasury released a report Friday estimating that from Feb. 10 to Aug. 10, businesses hired 8.1 million workers who qualify for the tax breaks. They added 1.2 million from July 10 to Aug. 10, the report said.

Many employers have also cut jobs — the government announced on Friday that a wave of government layoffs in September outpaced weak hiring in the private sector, reducing the nation's payrolls by a net total of 95,000 jobs cash advances pay day loan. However, there has been a net increase of 613,000 jobs since the start of the year, according to the government's business payroll survey.

"Targeted programs like the HIRE Act tax credit provide an incentive for private-sector employers to hire new workers sooner than they otherwise would," Assistant Treasury Secretary Alan B. Krueger said in a statement. "Since it's only in effect through the end of the year, the HIRE Act encourages businesses to accelerate hiring in order to get the maximum benefit from this temporary tax credit."

Economists have said there is no way to know how many of the unemployed workers would have been hired without the tax credit.

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Online: http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/tg897.htm

Treasury: 8.1M hires qualify for new tax break

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Summary Box: Frito-Lay to Pull Noisy SunChips Bags

Filed at 2:37 p.m. ET

THE SWITCH: Frito-Lay hopes to quiet complaints about its noisy SunChips bags by switching out the biodegradable bags for the old packaging on all but its original, plain flavor.

THE COMPLAINTS: The bags, made of plants, were introduced in April 2009. People have complained to the company that they are too loud when they are opened.

THE FUTURE: The company, a unit of PepsiCo Inc cash advance no fax., is working to develop its next generation of biodegradable bags and will use what it learned with the SunChips effort.

Summary Box: Frito-Lay to Pull Noisy SunChips Bags

Hot News: Corrected: Potash Corp Slams Report on BHP Takeover Proposal

Monday, October 4, 2010

Andrea Coombes Ways and Means: ETFs: What you need to know

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — About $819 billion was invested in U.S. exchange-traded funds at the end of August. Was any of your money there? If not, you may be wondering if you’re missing out.

ETFs are mutual-fund hybrids that usually track indexes, just as traditional index funds do, yet they’re often cheaper and more tax efficient than some index funds. And they offer investors flexibility and access to more market sectors. But ETFs also come with a few twists that may tie you up.

Dividend-paying stocks hold appeal

Ed Perks, lead manager of Franklin Income Fund, explains why dividend-paying stocks are attractive and looks at how they can be affected by deflation or inflation.

The average ETF expense ratio is 0.6% of assets, compared with an average 0.8% for traditional index funds, according to investment researcher Morningstar Inc. Of the 64 traditional index mutual funds that track the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, the average expense ratio is about 0.4%, excluding funds aimed at institutional investors who can afford larger minimum buy-ins.

The average cost of the three ETFs that follow the S&P 500 is 0.08%. On a $1,000 investment, that’s 80 cents per year for the ETF versus $4 a year for the traditional index fund. That’s not a lot, but all else being equal, why pay more? And if, like many investors, you’re also in actively managed mutual funds, which have higher costs than index funds on average, then your potential savings are even bigger.

“If there’s anything we can say definitively about fund performance it’s that cheaper funds typically do better over more expensive funds over the long term,” said Michael Rawson, an ETF analyst with Morningstar in Chicago.

Weighing the costs

ETFs aren’t always cheaper than the cheapest index funds, however. For example, the expense ratio for Vanguard Group’s Developed Markets Index Fund is 0.1% versus 0.4% for the iShares MSCI EAFE Index ETF , which tracks the same index, according to Morningstar.

Expense ratios aren’t everything, though. That Vanguard fund has a $3,000 investment minimum and a redemption fee of 2% if it’s sold within two months, Rawson said, while the iShares ETF has no redemption fee or minimum.

Then again, you may incur trading costs with ETFs, which trade like stocks. For people who buy infrequently and hold, that’s not a big deal. But if you’re buying into the market on a regular basis — sending money from every paycheck to your account, say — those costs add up fast.

Discount brokers offer low-cost trades, and some brokerages, including Vanguard, Charles Schwab and Fidelity Investments, now offer free trades on some products. But you won’t get access to all ETFs for free.

Schwab offers free trades on its 11 proprietary ETFs. Fidelity does so on 25 iShares ETFs. Vanguard provides free trades on its more than 60 ETFs.

For investors who are mainly in actively managed funds, but are leery of ETFs’ trading costs because they invest small amounts regularly, Tom Lydon, editor of ETF Trends, suggested this option: Move your current portfolio into a matching asset allocation of ETFs. Then continue your frequent purchases into traditional funds. At the end of each year, consider another move into ETFs, he said.

If you’re in actively managed mutual funds now, using that strategy, “you could probably assume you’d save more than 1% a year in expenses,” Lydon said. However, if you have a taxable account with large unrealized gains, consider the tax consequences first.

While both index funds and ETFs can help average investors reach their goals in a cost-efficient way, “the one meaningful difference and the one that gives ETFs a real advantage is the tax impact,” said Jerry Miccolis, chief investment officer at Brinton Eaton, a wealth advisory firm in Madison, N no teletrack payday loans.J. Watch video on investing mistakes to avoid.

Owners of traditional funds, index or otherwise, in taxable accounts may face capital-gains taxes when the manager sells securities to pay investors who leave the fund. That’s unlikely with ETFs. Here’s why: When you invest in an ETF, behind the scenes an institutional buyer creates the share units you’re buying. Investors who exit in effect deal with those institutions; the fund doesn’t need to sell anything in general.

“It’s almost as if you had your own dedicated lot of underlying securities,” Miccolis said, and it doesn’t get touched until you sell. “It’s not really a dedicated lot, but in effect that’s the way it works.”

ETF investors are subject to taxes when they sell (and keep in mind that gains from some commodity ETFs or more esoteric products may be subject to different tax rates than basic ETFs), but they’re much less likely than other fund investors to get hit with taxes while they own the fund. See related story on capital-gains tax relief for mutual fund shareholders.

Complicated options

For some investors, access to a diverse array of investments is a key attraction of ETFs. There are more than 1,065 ETFs trading on U.S. exchanges, compared with 323 regular index funds, according to Morningstar. But proceed carefully.

One potential pitfall: severe market volatility, as when the Dow Jones Industrial Average swooned 1,000 points in midday trading during the May 6 “flash crash.” Such volatility will hit ETFs, which trade throughout the day, in a way that it doesn’t traditional mutual funds.

Investors who rely on market orders, which essentially are a direction to the broker to buy the stock at the next available price, can add uncertainty in a fast-moving market; the next available price may differ widely from investors’ expectations.

Instead, ETF investors should use limit orders, said Rick Genoni, Vanguard’s head of ETF product management.

“Limit orders mean you will buy and sell at a given price or better. That protects you,” he said. “Market orders and stop-loss orders didn’t cause the flash crash, but investors using those order types certainly felt the downside risk that comes with those order types,” he said.

“When a market is moving that quickly, a market order is very dangerous,” he said. “Professional traders only use limit orders.”

Also, investors should be wary of leveraged ETFs, which may promise to double the daily return of a particular index. Investors who hold leveraged ETFs over the long haul, rather than buying and selling often, are likely to lose money. They are “not for the amateur investor,” Miccolis said. “They are useful for people who are in and out of the market very frequently.”

Experts also warn that some investors may not fully understand commodity ETFs. “Often when people look at a commodity ETF like a natural-gas ETF, they assume that’s going to give out the exact price performance of natural gas,” Rawson said, “but it actually may invest in natural-gas futures, which are subject to their own idiosyncracies.”

Meanwhile, a broad commodity index may include futures contracts for gold, oil and aluminum. But “all commodities don’t go up and go down at the same time,” said Lydon of ETF Trends. “They don’t all have the same fundamentals and market conditions working for them.”

Andrea Coombes' Ways and Means: ETFs: What you need to know

Saturday, October 2, 2010

Details emerge on no-tax California budget pact

SACRAMENTO, Calif. – After a record-long impasse, California legislators are set to vote this week on a no-new-taxes budget that relies on a combination of spending cuts and rosy projections to bridge a $19 billion budget gap.

Details of the agreement between Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and legislative leaders began to emerge Saturday ahead of a vote by rank-and-file lawmakers planned for Thursday.

The state would cut $7.5 billion in spending as part of the deal.

The governor and legislative leaders also are counting on an improving economy and the federal government to provide more money than previously projected and delaying a corporate tax break for two years cheapest personal loan rates.

The agreement was reached Friday. If approved, it would end a budget impasse that has now stretched for 94 days.

Details emerge on no-tax California budget pact