Friday, July 31, 2009

Obama: Stimulus Helping Put The Brakes On Recession 

President Barack ObamaU.S. President Barack Obama says his $787 billion economic Recovery Act is helping to turn the nation's economy around. The president commented on new figures that show the recession may be starting to fade.He says the stimulus legislation he enacted in February is a big reason behind the encouraging news. "This and other difficult but important steps that we have taken over the last six months have helped us put the brakes on the recession," he said.The Commerce Department says the U.S. economy shrank by one percent from April to June.  That is less than economists had expected, and far better than the 6.4 percent contraction from January to March.Mr. Obama says another encouraging sign is that business investment, which had been plummeting for several months, is showing signs of stabilizing. "This means that eventually, businesses will start growing and they will start hiring again.  And that is when it will truly feel like a recovery to the American people," he said easy payday loans.Also Friday, the House of Representatives voted to rush $2 billion into the government's popular program to encourage Americans to trade in old automobiles and buy new, fuel-efficient vehicles.  The president says the program has succeeded beyond his expectations."It is working so well that there are legitimate concerns that the funds in this program might soon be exhausted.  So we are now working with Congress on a bipartisan solution to ensure that the program can continue for everyone out there who is still looking to make a trade," he said.Despite signs of progress, the U.S. unemployment rate is 9.5 percent, its highest in 26 years.  Administration officials expect next week's numbers to show that hundreds of thousands more Americans have lost their jobs.  Mr. Obama says he will not be satisfied until those jobs are restored.

Obama: Stimulus Helping 'Put The Brakes On Recession' 

Hot News: Asian Markets Retreat Amid Bubble Worries

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Traders Profit With Computers Set at High Speed

It is the hot new thing on Wall Street, a way for a handful of traders to master the stock market, peek at investors’ orders and, critics say, even subtly manipulate share prices.

It is called high-frequency trading — and it is suddenly one of the most talked-about and mysterious forces in the markets.

Powerful computers, some housed right next to the machines that drive marketplaces like the New York Stock Exchange, enable high-frequency traders to transmit millions of orders at lightning speed and, their detractors contend, reap billions at everyone else’s expense.

These systems are so fast they can outsmart or outrun other investors, humans and computers alike. And after growing in the shadows for years, they are generating lots of talk.

Nearly everyone on Wall Street is wondering how hedge funds and large banks like Goldman Sachs are making so much money so soon after the financial system nearly collapsed. High-frequency trading is one answer.

And when a former Goldman Sachs programmer was accused this month of stealing secret computer codes — software that a federal prosecutor said could “manipulate markets in unfair ways” — it only added to the mystery. Goldman acknowledges that it profits from high-frequency trading, but disputes that it has an unfair advantage.

Yet high-frequency specialists clearly have an edge over typical traders, let alone ordinary investors. The Securities and Exchange Commission says it is examining certain aspects of the strategy.

“This is where all the money is getting made,” said William H. Donaldson, former chairman and chief executive of the New York Stock Exchange and today an adviser to a big hedge fund. “If an individual investor doesn’t have the means to keep up, they’re at a huge disadvantage.”

For most of Wall Street’s history, stock trading was fairly straightforward: buyers and sellers gathered on exchange floors and dickered until they struck a deal. Then, in 1998, the Securities and Exchange Commission authorized electronic exchanges to compete with marketplaces like the New York Stock Exchange. The intent was to open markets to anyone with a desktop computer and a fresh idea.

But as new marketplaces have emerged, PCs have been unable to compete with Wall Street’s computers. Powerful algorithms — “algos,” in industry parlance — execute millions of orders a second and scan dozens of public and private marketplaces simultaneously. They can spot trends before other investors can blink, changing orders and strategies within milliseconds.

High-frequency traders often confound other investors by issuing and then canceling orders almost simultaneously. Loopholes in market rules give high-speed investors an early glance at how others are trading. And their computers can essentially bully slower investors into giving up profits — and then disappear before anyone even knows they were there.

High-frequency traders also benefit from competition among the various exchanges, which pay small fees that are often collected by the biggest and most active traders — typically a quarter of a cent per share to whoever arrives first. Those small payments, spread over millions of shares, help high-speed investors profit simply by trading enormous numbers of shares, even if they buy or sell at a modest loss.

“It’s become a technological arms race, and what separates winners and losers is how fast they can move,” said Joseph M. Mecane of NYSE Euronext, which operates the New York Stock Exchange. “Markets need liquidity, and high-frequency traders provide opportunities for other investors to buy and sell payday loan online.”

The rise of high-frequency trading helps explain why activity on the nation’s stock exchanges has exploded. Average daily volume has soared by 164 percent since 2005, according to data from NYSE. Although precise figures are elusive, stock exchanges say that a handful of high-frequency traders now account for a more than half of all trades. To understand this high-speed world, consider what happened when slow-moving traders went up against high-frequency robots earlier this month, and ended up handing spoils to lightning-fast computers.

It was July 15, and Intel, the computer chip giant, had reporting robust earnings the night before. Some investors, smelling opportunity, set out to buy shares in the semiconductor company Broadcom. (Their activities were described by an investor at a major Wall Street firm who spoke on the condition of anonymity to protect his job.) The slower traders faced a quandary: If they sought to buy a large number of shares at once, they would tip their hand and risk driving up Broadcom’s price. So, as is often the case on Wall Street, they divided their orders into dozens of small batches, hoping to cover their tracks. One second after the market opened, shares of Broadcom started changing hands at $26.20.

The slower traders began issuing buy orders. But rather than being shown to all potential sellers at the same time, some of those orders were most likely routed to a collection of high-frequency traders for just 30 milliseconds — 0.03 seconds — in what are known as flash orders. While markets are supposed to ensure transparency by showing orders to everyone simultaneously, a loophole in regulations allows marketplaces like Nasdaq to show traders some orders ahead of everyone else in exchange for a fee.

In less than half a second, high-frequency traders gained a valuable insight: the hunger for Broadcom was growing. Their computers began buying up Broadcom shares and then reselling them to the slower investors at higher prices. The overall price of Broadcom began to rise.

Soon, thousands of orders began flooding the markets as high-frequency software went into high gear. Automatic programs began issuing and canceling tiny orders within milliseconds to determine how much the slower traders were willing to pay. The high-frequency computers quickly determined that some investors’ upper limit was $26.40. The price shot to $26.39, and high-frequency programs began offering to sell hundreds of thousands of shares.

The result is that the slower-moving investors paid $1.4 million for about 56,000 shares, or $7,800 more than if they had been able to move as quickly as the high-frequency traders.

Multiply such trades across thousands of stocks a day, and the profits are substantial. High-frequency traders generated about $21 billion in profits last year, the Tabb Group, a research firm, estimates.

“You want to encourage innovation, and you want to reward companies that have invested in technology and ideas that make the markets more efficient,” said Andrew M. Brooks, head of United States equity trading at T. Rowe Price, a mutual fund and investment company that often competes with and uses high-frequency techniques. “But we’re moving toward a two-tiered marketplace of the high-frequency arbitrage guys, and everyone else. People want to know they have a legitimate shot at getting a fair deal. Otherwise, the markets lose their integrity.”

Traders Profit With Computers Set at High Speed

Hot News: AT&T Earnings Drop 15%, Partly on iPhone Subsidies

Ford Results Lifted by Debt Reductions

The Ford Motor Company posted better-than-expected results on Thursday, mostly because of one-time gains tied to debt restructuring.

Ford, the only domestic automaker not to go through bankruptcy protection, reported a surprising second-quarter profit of $2.3 billion, though its automotive operations lost money.

The company said the profit, equal to 69 cents a share, was largely the result of a $3.4 billion gain from debt restructuring. Excluding that figure and other special items, Ford would have lost $638 million, or 21 cents a share, still a significant improvement from the $1.4 billion that it lost on continuing operations a year ago and less than half the loss analysts were expecting.

The overall profit is a positive swing of $11 billion from a year ago, when it lost $8.7 billon, its worst quarterly result in company history.

“While the business environment remained extremely challenging around the world, we made significant progress on our transformation plan,” Ford’s chief executive, Alan R. Mulally, said in a statement. “Our underlying business is growing progressively stronger as we introduce great new products that customers want and value, while continuing to aggressively restructure our business and strengthen our balance sheet.”

Ford said it remained on track to break even by 2011 and asserted that it “has sufficient liquidity to fund its product-led transformation plan and provide a cushion against the uncertain global economic environment.”

It had $21 billion in cash reserves at the end of the quarter, after burning through $1 billion since April. A year ago, Ford was spending its cash nearly three times as quickly.

Despite the positive performance, analysts say Ford still has much work ahead of it to overcome the auto industry’s worst slump in decades.

“We think the longer-term outlook has some meaningful challenges that suggest the ultimate upside is limited,” Chris Ceraso, an analyst with Credit Suisse, wrote in a recent note to clients no fax payday loan. “Specifically, we believe that Ford is still carrying too much leverage and will have to reduce debt, perhaps through additional equity issuance.”

Ford has been working hard to paint itself as different from its cross-town rivals, General Motors and Chrysler, with relative success. Some consumers who opposed the billions of dollars in emergency loans given to G.M. and Chrysler or feared buying from a bankrupt automaker have been drawn to Ford instead.

Additionally, new products like the Taurus sedan and Fusion gas-electric hybrid sedan have been receiving glowing reviews and selling well.

Ford’s market share in the first half of 2009 rose to 16.1 percent, up from 15.5 percent a year ago, and those gains have come even with less discounting on its cars and trucks. It outsold Toyota in the first half of the year after allowing the Japanese company to take over second place in the United States market for the last two years.

In June, Ford’s sales fell 11 percent, compared to 33 percent at G.M. and 42 percent at Chrysler. As a result, Ford is increasing production in the third quarter by 16 percent.

Its stock price has more than quadrupled since hitting a low point of $1.50 in mid-February.

A report from the banking firm Merrill Lynch last week projected that Ford’s market share would increase about 3 percent in the next four years, surpassing G.M. The report also estimated that Ford would earn a small profit in 2010 and as much as $1 per share the following year.

In June, Ford was one of three automakers, along with Nissan and the electric-car startup Tesla, to get loans from an Energy Department fund aimed at accelerating production of more fuel-efficient vehicles. Ford is borrowing $5.9 billion to help it retool 11 factories in the Midwest.

Ford Results Lifted by Debt Reductions

Hot News: Ford posts profit, shares jump

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Bristol-Myers to buy Medarex for $2.4 billion

NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. drugmaker Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY.N) late on Wednesday said it will pay $2.4 billion to acquire Medarex Inc (MEDX.O), a biotechnology company that has been helping it develop a promising treatment for melanoma since 2005.

The agreed offer of $16 a share represents a 90 percent premium to Medarex's closing share price on Wednesday of $8.40 per share on Nasdaq. Bristol already owns a 2 percent stake in Medarex, through its four-year-old partnership with its neighbor in Princeton, New Jersey.

The deal could help Bristol-Myers regain its stature as one of the world's leading players in the oncology market, and to develop treatments for immunologic conditions such as arthritis, lupus and psoriasis.

Medarex has developed mice with human immune systems that are able to generate fully human antibodies that can be used as drugs.

The two companies are developing one of the antibodies, called ipilimumab, as a treatment for patients in late stages of melanoma -- the most deadly form of skin cancer for which no highly effective treatments now exist cash till payday advance.

In three mid-stage clinical trials, 30 to 42 percent of patients with metastatic melanoma treated with the drug were still alive after two years, which Bristol-Myers said established a survival benefit.

The companies are now conducting a larger late-stage trial, requested by U.S. regulators, designed to show an unequivocal survival benefit.

"This deal will give us (full) rights to ipilimumab and broadly position Bristol-Myers for long-term leadership in biologics," said Bristol-Myers spokesman Brian Henry, referring to complicated biotech drugs that are typically given by injection.

He said Medarex is testing 10 other drugs in clinical trials, some with other large drugmakers.

"This deal clearly expands our opportunities in oncology and immunology," Henry said.

(Reporting by Ransdell Pierson; Editing by Gary Hill and Carol Bishopric)

Bristol-Myers to buy Medarex for $2.4 billion

Hot News: EBay net, revenue beats Street, shares up

Military Sales Give Boeing a Lift in Quarter

CHICAGO (AP) — The airplane maker Boeing said Wednesday that its second-quarter earnings rose 17 percent amid robust military sales and higher operating profit for its commercial aircraft division. The results topped analyst expectations.

Boeing, based in Chicago, earned $998 million, or $1.41 a share, up from $852 million, or $1.16 a share, in the period a year ago.

Revenue edged up 1 percent to $17.15 billion.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had expected a profit of $1.21 a share on revenue of $17.15 billion us fast cash.

Boeing also reiterated its 2009 earnings guidance.

Boeing and its rival Airbus face dwindling orders for planes as demand for air travel shrinks amid the recession.

Additionally, Boeing has suffered delays in its eagerly anticipated 787 airliner. The company said Wednesday that it would issue a new schedule for the 787 in the third quarter.

Military Sales Give Boeing a Lift in Quarter

Hot News: Exelon Drops Its Bid for NRG Energy

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

United Tech profit down 23 percent, cuts 09 forecast

BOSTON (Reuters) – Diversified U.S. manufacturer United Technologies Corp's (UTX.N) profit fell 23 percent as a global recession eroded demand for equipment used in large buildings and slowed the pace of aircraft maintenance.

The world's largest maker of elevators and air conditioners also on Tuesday lowered the top end of its 2009 profit forecast, now looking for earnings of $4 to $4.20 per share, down from a prior range of $4 to $4.50

United Tech reported second-quarter profit of $976 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, down from $1.275 billion, or $1.32 per share, a year earlier payday loans.

The Hartford, Connecticut-based company, which also makes jet engines and helicopters, has been aggressively cutting costs in the face of parallel slumps in two key end markets: commercial construction and aviation.

United Tech shares are up less than 1 percent so far this year, more or less in line with the Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI), which is down less than 1 percent.

(Reporting by Scott Malone; Editing by Derek Caney)

United Tech profit down 23 percent, cuts '09 forecast

Hot News: Sales Drive Robust Quarter for Apple

DuPont earnings sink, but cost cuts help

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Chemical maker DuPont (DD.N) posted a more than 60 percent drop in quarterly profit on Tuesday, but said cost-cutting measures had helped it cope with weak global demand.

Second-quarter net income at the largest U.S. chemical maker by market value fell to $421 million, or 46 cents per share, from $1.08 billion, or $1.18 per share, a year earlier.

Excluding one-time charges, earnings were 61 cents per share.

Net sales fell to $6.86 billion from $8.84 billion.

DuPont, which has eliminated 4,500 jobs since late last year as part of its efforts slash costs to cope with the slowdown in demand from the auto, construction and industrial markets, said its cost-saving measures had boosted its earnings by $335 million in the quarter and brought year-to-date savings to $600 million payday advance.

(Reporting by Matt Daily; Editing by Lisa Von Ahn)

DuPont earnings sink, but cost cuts help

Hot News: Chip Maker Profit Falls, but Worst May Be Past

Monday, July 20, 2009

As Spain’s Economy Falters, Bank Robberies Rise

BARCELONA — The 52-year-old contractor was desperate to save his business. Unable to pay his workers and facing bankruptcy, Ausencio C. G., as Spanish police identify him, went to the bank — but not for a loan.

Covering his fingertips with surgical tape and wearing a ski mask and a reflective jacket to blur his image on security cameras, the contractor reportedly stole 80,000 euros from four banks before getting caught as he tried his fifth stickup near Barcelona in February.

That is a total of about $115,000 — half of which came from his first heist, and was used to pay his workers, according to what he told the police.

Now in prison awaiting trial, the contractor, who is from Lleida, a town about 150 kilometers west of here, is reported to be part of one group that is busier than ever in this recession-battered country: bank robbers.

Indeed, with unemployment approaching 20 percent, the highest in Europe, and the overall economy expected to shrink by 4.2 percent this year, bank robberies in 2009 are running 20 percent ahead of 2007’s pace, according to the Spanish Banking Association.

“In recent months, it has become apparent that Spain is suffering from an increase in bank robberies,” said Francisco Pérez Abellán, head of the criminology department at the University of Camilo José Cela in Madrid. “We are seeing people committing offenses through necessity, first-time offenders who can no longer continue to maintain their lifestyle and so turn to crime.”

In the Barcelona area, only 7 percent of bank robbers were first-time offenders in 2008, according to José Luis Trapero, the chief of investigations for the regional police squad. That figure has jumped to 20 percent so far this year.

Though bank executives argue that there is no proven link between the falling economy and the rise in bank robberies, many Spaniards say they think the trends are more than coincidental — including the union that represents bank workers. It recently persuaded the Spanish government to classify bank robbery as an occupational hazard.

“There’s unemployment, there’s hunger and there’s money in the banks, and the three factors combine,” said José Manuel Murcia, head of health in the workplace for the financial sector of one of Spain’s largest trade unions, the CC.OO (Confederación Sindical de Comisiones Obreras). “Banks are denying credit, so companies are having problems, which creates more unemployment.”

He added, “People can’t pay their mortgages. So it’s more logical to rob a bank than a pharmacy.”

Despite the increase in novice offenders like the contractor, bank executives play down the spike in robberies, and dispute any comparisons with Depression-era America, when John Dillinger and other criminals captured the public imagination.

“It’s an urban myth,” said Eduardo Zamora, director of security for Banco Sabadell, Spain’s fourth-largest bank. “It’s possible it does have an effect on other parts of society but I’m convinced the economic crisis doesn’t have any effect on holdups.”

Besides, Mr. Zamora added, bank robberies were much more common in the late 1980s and early 1990s. As long as the total number of bank robberies does not exceed 500 a year, Mr cash till payday advance. Zamora said, “it’s stable and controlled.”

All told, there were 165 holdups in the first four months of 2009, according to the Spanish Banking Association.

But Mr. Murcia said he believed the actual number of bank robberies was higher than the figures disclosed by the banking association.

In addition, he said his workers were at particular risk because of increasing automation and the proliferation of branches with just one or two employees and time-lock safes that require a 30-minute wait before they can be opened.

In fact, Ausencio C. G. stuck to banks with only one employee, usually female, and carefully watched his victim’s movements as well as the bank’s premises before he struck.

According to his statement to the Spanish police, Ausencio C. G.’s first hit was his most successful, netting 50,000 euros that he used to pay his employees. (Spanish police have not disclosed his full name because he is still awaiting trial.)

The booty from subsequent heists was earmarked for his suppliers, as well as for family expenses, including his daughter’s studies in London, according to the police.

While the typical bank robber is a Spanish-born male over the age of 35 who acts alone and strikes not far from home, according to Mr. Pérez Abellán, the Madrid criminology professor, a new wave of bandits is also emerging.

These are criminals drawn from among the millions of low-skilled workers who came here from Latin America, Eastern Europe and elsewhere before Spain’s long construction boom went bust.

“A kind of common market has arisen, formed by people from different countries who bring new criminal skills designed to increase the level of violence and the speed of the bank robbery,” said Mr. Pérez Abellán.

For example, a four-man crew of painters from South America turned to bank robbery in March, kidnapping a bank manager and his family near Barcelona and holding them overnight before forcing the manager to open the bank vault and hand over more than 150,000 euros, nearly $215,000.

The gang of painters, who had no criminal record in Spain, originally came from Brazil and Argentina.

They were caught last month, still dressed in their painters’ uniforms and carrying a paint bucket along with shotguns, shells and pistols in the back seat of their car as they tried one final robbery before heading back to South America with their loot.

Because they lack a criminal record, apprehending reported perpetrators like Ausencio C. G. or the South American painters is trickier, Mr. Trapero said.

In 2007, 87 percent of bank robberies were solved, compared with 72 percent last year. So far in 2009, just under half have resulted in an arrest.

But Mr. Trapero, an intensely focused 19-year veteran of the force, is patient as he tracks his prey.

“It often takes months or even years to solve some cases,” he said. “There are some very clever robbers out there who take care of almost every detail but they always slip up in the end.”

Scott Sayare contributed reporting.

As Spain’s Economy Falters, Bank Robberies Rise

Hot News: Trial for New Lupus Treatment Is Called Promising

Iceland Puts $2 Billion Into Collapsed Banking Sector

Iceland unveiled plans Monday to get its collapsed banking system back on its feet, including a recapitalization and the sale of significant equity stakes to creditors.

The finance ministry said the deal, worth 270 billion krona or $2 billion, was a significant step on the road to recovery for the North Atlantic nation, which became one of the earliest and hardest hit casualties of the global financial crisis because of debt amassed during years of light regulation of the banking sector.

Iceland’s principal three banks — Kaupthing, Glitnir and Landsbanki — failed within a week last October, owing around $60 billion to foreign lenders.

Restructuring the overweight banking sector and repaying creditors is seen by analysts as key to reviving the economy, alongside attempts to stabilize the exchange rate and lower sky-high interest rates.

The plan for the banking system comes days after Iceland’s parliament voted by a narrow margin to apply for membership in the European Union, moving to relinquish some of the country’s cherished independence in the name of stability.

“Our agreements announced today are a major step forward in the re-establishment of a strong banking system,” the finance minister, Steingrimur J. Sigfusson, said. “They allow for the recapitalization of the banks, potentially at a significantly lower cost to the taxpayer than originally envisaged, and we believe will result in a fair and equitable outcome for all stakeholders.”

The government will recapitalize the three new banks it created following the collapse of the failed ones — Islandsbanki, New Kaupthing and New Landsbanki — through a bond issue it expects to be completed by Aug instant payday loans completely online. 14.

It said the cost could be reduced to around 200 billion krona if creditors in the old banks subscribed to the controlling equity stakes on offer for Islandsbanki and New Kaupthing.

If they do, Glitnir would assume the entire equity of Islandsbanki while Kaupthing would own 87 percent in New Kaupthing, leaving the government with 13 percent.

The government said it would retain ownership of the third bank, Landsbanki, while a similar plan is discussed with its creditors.

In the years before the credit crisis, financial deregulation, a stock market boom and a surging krona helped Icelandic entrepreneurs go on a global buying spree, snapping up businesses from Britain’s Hamleys toy store to the Karen Millen clothing chain. Iceland’s banks drew depositors from around the world with too-good-to-be-true savings rates.

Then the global financial crisis hit, and Iceland became one of the earliest casualties. The over-stretched banks collapsed under the weight of debt and retailers went bankrupt. The country’s currency, the krona, has plummeted, while unemployment and inflation have spiraled.

Iceland Puts $2 Billion Into Collapsed Banking Sector

Hot News: Asian Markets Gain as Investors Eye Earnings

Sunday, July 19, 2009

Asian Markets Gain as Investors Eye Earnings

Filed at 1:11 a.m. ET

HONG KONG (AP) -- Asian stock markets extended their advance Monday as investors eyed another raft of corporate earning in the U.S. and struggling lender CIT Group neared an eleventh-hour deal to stave off bankruptcy.

Hong Kong and South Korean stocks led the region with gains of over 2 percent, while oil prices traded above $64 a barrel. Japanese financial markets were closed for a holiday.

Investors seem encouraged as Wall Street futures rose amid news U.S. commercial lender CIT was closing in on a deal with bondholders for $3 billion in emergency funding. The New York-based bank has been scrambling to raise $2 billion to $4 billion after the federal government refused to bail out the company last week.

The news could add more support to a market already relieved that second-quarter results from major American companies have largely turned out better than expected. Reports this week from American Express, aerospace manufacturer Boeing, industrial equipment maker Caterpillar, among others, will likely to provide more clues about any rebound in the world's largest economy and could dictate trade in the near term.

''It's hard to see a big correction right now,'' said Andrew Orchard, Asian strategist for Royal Bank of Scotland in Hong Kong. ''Earnings have helped the market rally a bit and there's still a lot money out there, so I think we could move higher no fax cash loans.''

Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 446.98 points, or 2.4 percent, to 19,252.64, and South Korea's Kospi added 34.22, or 2.4 percent, to 1,474.25.

Most other major markets were also in the green, with benchmarks in Australia, Shanghai and Taiwan higher by about 1.5 percent.

Indonesian's market suffered Asia's only decline, falling 0.5 percent and adding to losses after Friday's deadly bomb blasts at two luxury hotels in the capital Jakarta.

Wall Street closed little changed Friday.

The Dow Jones industrials rose 32.12, or 0.4 percent, to 8,743.94, but the broader Standard & Poor's 500 index slipped 0.36, or less than 0.1 percent, to 940.38.

U.S. futures pointed to a higher open Monday. Dow futures were up 34, or 0.4 percent, at 8,731 and S&P futures gained 3.3, or 0.4 percent, to 940.20.

Crude prices bounced in Asian trade, the benchmark contract rising 52 cents to $64.08 a barrel. The contracted advanced $1.54 in Friday trade.

The dollar was higher at 94.62 yen from 94.32 yen. The euro strengthened to $1.4154 from $1.4115.

Asian Markets Gain as Investors Eye Earnings

Hot News: K.K.R., in Move to Go Public, Will Merge With European Sibling

Wall Street mostly higher, Dow makes five-day rally

NEW YORK (AFP) – US stocks closed mostly higher Friday as investors digested surprisingly good earnings reports from big companies and took a breather after four days of robust gains.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 32.12 points (0.37 percent) to 8,743.94, extending a blue-chip rally to a fifth straight day.

The technology-heavy Nasdaq edged up 1.58 points (0.08 percent) to 1,886.61, while the broad Standard & Poor's 500 index dipped 0.36 point (0.04 percent) to 940.38.

Narrow sideways trading marked the session ahead of the weekend, leaving stocks mixed.

"It's been a pretty good run-up this week, so there's a little bit of a pause," said Owen Fitzpatrick, an analyst at Deutsche Bank. The Dow added 7.3 percent over the week.

Investors had a barrage of better-than-expected earnings reports to digest. Though earnings beat the average analyst forecasts, some other elements of the financial results raised red flags.

"Reading between the banner headlines of upside earnings surprises, we see in the commentary from companies reporting that the pace of economic recovery isn't going to be a quick one which, in turn, leaves us questioning the rapidity and sustainability of this week's move," said Patrick O'Hare of Briefing.com.

Bank of America shares fell 2.13 percent to 12.85 dollars. The largest US bank by assets topped forecasts with 3.2 billion dollars in second-quarter net profit.

Troubled Citigroup slipped 0.33 percent to 3.02 dollars after reporting profit of 4.3 billion dollars in the second quarter, resulting from a big one-time gain on a joint brokerage venture default payday loan.

Large business lender CIT Group, on the brink of bankruptcy, soared 70.73 percent to 70 cents, recouping almost all of Thursday's loss. After the market close Thursday, the bank said it was working with lenders to avoid collapse after the government refused fresh aid.

General Electric plunged 6.05 percent to 11.65 dollars. The big conglomerate, seen as a bellwether of the US economy, reported a 49 percent drop in second-quarter net profit from a year ago that still beat Wall Street expectations.

Toymaker titan Mattel vaulted 7.60 percent to 17.42 dollars after swinging into profit.

In the technology space, IBM gained a hefty 4.32 percent to 115.42 dollars. Big Blue reported results that topped market expectations and raised its earnings outlook.

Google tumbled 2.79 percent to 430.25 dollars. The Internet search engine giant's earnings also exceeded Street forecasts.

On the economic calendar, housing starts and construction permits rose more than expected in June, official data showed.

"Today's reports are a positive indicator, not just in the housing market but in the economy as a whole, because of the importance the housing sector has on economic activity," the Charles Schwab & Co. analysts said.

Bonds tumbled. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond increased to 3.651 percent from 3.557 percent Thursday and that on the 30-year bond rose to 4.529 percent from 4.446 percent. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.

Wall Street mostly higher, Dow makes five-day rally

Hot News: Top US Advisor: US Economy Back from the Brink

Saturday, July 18, 2009

Madoff Accountant Pleads Not Guilty

The accountant for the man convicted of the largest fraud in U.S. history said he is not guilty of any wrongdoing.Bernard Madoff's accountant David Friehling exits Manhattan federal court in New York, 17 Jul 2009David Friehling was the auditor for convicted financier Bernard Madoff and is the only person other than Madoff charged with any crime in the case.Prosecutors said Friehling was responsible for verifying transactions at Madoff's investment firm, but failed to discover that all of the transactions were fraudulent. Madoff admitted he took millions of dollars from thousands of investors, using money from new clients to pay "profits" to old clients, giving everyone the false impression the scheme was making money payday loans in one hour.  Madoff, now also known as prisoner 61727-054, is serving a 150 year prison sentence at a medium security facility in Butner, North Carolina.Embarrassed U.S. regulators missed the huge Madoff fraud despite several warnings and some investigations. Today at a congressional hearing, lawmakers discussed ways to improve regulatory oversight of the financial markets.  

Some information for this report was provided by AP and Reuters.

Madoff Accountant Pleads Not Guilty

Hot News: Last Man Standing

Friday, July 17, 2009

Wall St scores best week in 4 months with IBMs help

NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. stocks closed out their best week in four months on Friday on a flat note as strong earnings from IBM (IBM.N) softened the blow of disappointing results from General Electric Co (GE.N).

International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N), the world's largest technology services provider, rose 4.3 percent to $115.42 and pushed the Dow slightly higher after boosting its profit outlook for the year after the close on Thursday.

But fellow Dow components GE and Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) reined in the blue-chip average's gains as Bank of America's soaring credit losses, along with GE's unexpected drop in revenue, curbed recovery optimism after promising earnings and data earlier in the week.

With companies such as Intel Corp (INTC.O) and Goldman Sachs Group (GS.N) posting strong quarterly results earlier in the week, investors had been eager to see some consistency from other bellwether names.

"Some optimism was priced into the earnings already after Goldman had a good quarter and the financials rallied," said Kevin Kruszenski, head of listed trading at KeyBanc Capital Markets in Cleveland.

"The market has moved 7 percent this week, so it's time for a breather," Kruszenski added.

The Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) gained 32.12 points, or 0.37 percent, to 8,743.94. But the Standard & Poor's 500 Index (.SPX) dipped just 0.36 of a point, or 0.04 percent, to 940.38. And the Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC) added 1.58 points, or 0.08 percent, to 1,886.61.

MAJOR INDEXES UP 7 PCT FOR THE WEEK

All three major U.S. stock indexes recorded their best week since mid-March, as both the Dow and the S&P 500 snapped four-week losing streaks. This week's gains marked the resumption of the rally from March 9, when the S&P 500 hit a 12-year closing low.

For the week, the Dow rose 7.3 percent, the S&P 500 gained 7 percent and the Nasdaq climbed 7.4 percent.

GE's profit dropped nearly 50 percent as the slump that burdened its finance and media businesses spread to its industrial units, prompting Chief Executive Jeff Immelt to cut profit views for those parts of the company. The conglomerate's quarterly revenue fell 17 percent paydayloans.

GE's stock shed 6.1 percent to $11.65 and led the S&P Industrials index (.GSPI) down 1.5 percent to 194.85. The stock was the Dow's top percentage decliner while the industrials index was the worst performer among S&P sectors.

Internet search giant Google Inc (GOOG.O) fell 2.8 percent to $430.25 on Nasdaq after a slump in advertising spending took a toll on Google's quarterly revenue growth, overshadowing results that topped Wall Street's forecasts.

Elsewhere, Citigroup Inc (C.N) fell 0.3 percent, or just 1 penny, to $3.02, erasing slight gains made after it announced results. The big U.S. banking company relied on a gain from its Smith Barney deal with Morgan Stanley (MS.N) to turn a profit.

THREADS OF HOPE FOR CIT

Shares of CIT Group Inc (CIT.N) surged nearly 71 percent to 70 cents and ranked among the most actively traded names on the New York Stock Exchange on reports the small business lender, which has a sizable clientele among fashion labels and retailers, was in talks with JP Morgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) and Goldman Sachs Inc (GS.N) about short-term financing as it seeks to avoid bankruptcy.

Helping sentiment was new data that showed U.S. housing starts and building permits jumped more than expected in June, propelled by a surge in single-family home starts.

The S&P 500 climbed as much as 40 percent from its 12-year closing low hit in early March before the run-up stalled in June. But the index has recovered from about a 7 percent loss since June's peak, based on an upbeat start to second-quarter earnings season, and is now up 39 percent from the March low.

Volume was light on the New York Stock Exchange, with 1.29 billion shares changing hands, below last year's estimated daily average of 1.49 billion, while on the Nasdaq, about 1.91 billion shares traded, below last year's daily average of 2.28 billion.

Declining stocks slightly outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by 1,498 to 1,469, while on the Nasdaq, about three stocks fell for every two that rose.

(Editing by Jan Paschal)

Wall St scores best week in 4 months with IBM's help

Hot News: Two Ailing Banks Post Profits, Aided by Asset Sales

U.S. banks take center stage, economic picture mixed

NEW YORK/BRUSSELS (Reuters) – U.S. banks, at the center of the world's financial crisis, will command investor focus on Friday with Bank of America and Citigroup results following strong showings from their peers.

Stock markets have rallied this week as better-than-expected earnings from several big U.S. companies have raised hopes of better times ahead.

But many experts say an ongoing stream of evidence of recovery is needed to propel them much higher. Broader economic data continues to be mixed.

JPMorgan Chase & Co said on Thursday record investment banking fees helped drive a 36 percent rise in quarterly profit but that credit quality in consumer mortgages and credit cards was deteriorating faster than it expected.

That warning tallied with analysts' fears that banks' improving performance could be confined to the second quarter when equities soared.

"Earnings from U.S. banks have been upbeat, but there are concerns that the positive results could be limited to the second quarter," said Takahiko Murai, general manager of equities at Nozomi Securities.

"Some institutions appear to hold significant bad loans and third-quarter results may not be as encouraging."

Earlier in the week, Goldman Sachs Group Inc said quarterly earnings surged 33 percent, just nine months after the U.S. Treasury bailed out the nation's largest banks -- many crippled with bad debts stemming from a U.S. housing market meltdown -- with $125 billion of taxpayer money.

But the trouble is far from over.

CIT Group Inc is scrambling to secure financing after the collapse of rescue talks with the government left the 101-year-old U.S. lender to hundreds of thousands of small and medium-sized businesses on the brink of bankruptcy.

Signs of upturn have come from IBM, which raised its full-year earnings forecast on Thursday, following leading chipmaker Intel Corp's stronger-than-expected earnings and outlook announcement this week.

European shares rose for the fifth day running, led by banks and commodity stocks ahead of earnings from Citi, Bank of America and General Electric.

Japan's Nikkei rallied for a fourth day and has gained just over 1 percent on the week.

ECONOMIC PICTURE PATCHY

The euro zone recorded a trade surplus in May as imports contracted more than exports, data showed on Friday free credit report instantly.

Year on year, exports plunged 24 percent but imports fell even more, 27 percent, underlining the weakness of both domestic and external demand amid the global economic downturn.

Nonetheless, Germany's economy minister said gross domestic product may have bottomed out in the second quarter after a record contraction in the first three months of this year.

"There is much to suggest that overall economic activity may have stabilized in the second quarter of this year," the ministry said in its monthly report for July.

Bank of England Deputy Governor Charles Bean said in an interview published on Friday that Britain would take time to get going again but growth could resume by the end of the year.

In Japan, members of the government's key economic panel said the Bank of Japan should work to stop prices falling further, as a deflationary spiral posed one of the biggest risks to recovery in the world's second-biggest economy.

But Friday's frontline economic evidence is again from the United States, with June building permits and housing starts figures due at 1230 GMT.

Following a dramatic collapse coupled with irresponsible lending practices, the housing market has been showing some signs of stabilization, with sales rising and home price declines moderating in many regions of the country.

Investors fretting over the health of the global economy had received a fillip from China on Thursday, with surprisingly strong economic growth of 7.9 percent in the second quarter, fueled by state spending and bank lending, reinforcing hopes it may lead the world out of recession.

But the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank reported factory activity in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region posted a worse-than-expected decline in July, contracting for the 10th consecutive month.

"This is going to be a bumpy ride for the next six months for the economy. We are going to have volatility in the data because they are not all going to all turn at the same time," said Kurt Karl, chief U.S. economist at Swiss Re in New York.

(Writing by Mike Peacock; Editing by Jason Neely)

U.S. banks take center stage, economic picture mixed

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Thursday, July 16, 2009

European shares climb before US results

LONDON (AFP) – Europe's leading stock markets rose on Thursday, although London struggled into positive territory on investor caution ahead of earnings news from major US companies, dealers said.

Dealers in Europe were awaiting the publication on Thursday of second-quarter earnings from major US companies, Google and IBM.

"We have some more big guns reporting today in the US," said IG Index trader Philip Gillet.

As he spoke, US banking giant JPMorgan Chase reported a net profit of 2.7 billion dollars in the second quarter, a 36-percent increase from the equivalent figure last year.

Earlier in the week, US banking giant Goldman Sachs had reported 65-percent jump in second-quarter net profits. The prestigious financial firm was the first of the "big guns" in the sector to report latest quarterly earnings. Bank of America and Citigroup are to reveal their results on Friday.

Investors are keenly awaiting the round of quarterly results to see whether massive public aid and better conditions in the stock market have positioned the ailing sector for recovery.

In late morning trading here, the FTSE 100 index of leading shares was up 0.02 percent at 4,348.02 points.

Frankfurt's DAX 30 climbed 0.73 percent to 4,964.44 points and the Paris CAC 40 gained 0.75 percent to 3,195.03 points nearing the half-way mark.

The DJ Euro Stoxx 50 index of leading eurozone shares won 0.72 percent to 2,468.73 points.

On the foreign exchange market, the European single currency fell to 1.4076 dollars.

In Europe on Thursday, Finnish telecoms giant Nokia said its second-quarter net profit fell 66 percent on a 12-month basis to 380 million euros (535 million dollars) on falling handset sales and lower prices no teletrack payday loans.

In Reaction, its share price dived 8.02 percent to 10.21 euros.

Meanwhile in Frankfurt, leading German airline Lufthansa climbed 1.32 percent to 9.215 euros after a group spokesman said it planned big extra cost cuts to save one billion euros a year from 2011.

Wall Street fired on all cylinders Wednesday as the market was ignited by surprisingly strong results from tech giant Intel and an improved Federal Reserve outlook, dealers said.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average leapt 3.07 percent to close at 8,616.21 points, capping a powerful three-day rally for the US market.

The technology-heavy Nasdaq climbed 3.51 percent to 1,862.90 points and the broad Standard & Poor's 500 index advanced 2.96 percent to 932.68.

In Asia on Thursday, Japanese share prices closed up 0.81 percent, lifted by gains overnight on Wall Street, said traders.

The Shanghai market closed down 0.15 percent amid concerns about supply from upcoming share offerings and uncertainties about the economy in the second half year, dealers said.

China's economy grew 7.9 percent in the second quarter of 2009, the government said Thursday, in a startling turnaround for the Asian powerhouse fuelled by a massive stimulus package.

This put China back on track to achieve its goal of 8.0 percent growth for the whole year, despite the global financial crisis, however the government warned many pitfalls still lay ahead.

European shares climb before US results

Hot News: Stocks Rise Modestly After Goldman’s Strong Profit

Friday, July 10, 2009

Asian Markets Inch Higher Amid Economic Jitters

Filed at 6:02 a.m. ET

LONDON (AP) -- European stock markets fell modestly Friday following lackluster performances on Wall Street and in Asia as investors remained on the sidelines. But second-quarter U.S. corporate earnings over the coming days and weeks have the potential to lift markets out of their current stupor.

The FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was down 11.45 points, or 0.3 percent, at 4,147.21 while Germany's DAX fell 3.23 points, or 0.1 percent, at 4,626.84. The CAC-40 in France was 8.25 points, or 0.3 percent, lower at 3,017.69.

Earlier in Asia, markets gyrated throughout the day before edging down. Japan's Nikkei index notched up its eighth straight loss, closing 3.78 points lower to 9,287.28.

''Volumes in equities have all but dried up which adds to investors reluctance to get back into the market at the present time,'' said Arifa Sheikh-Usmani, a trader at Spreadex.

Key over the coming days and even weeks could be the second-quarter earnings reporting season in the U.S. as it will provide clues about whether companies have already seen the worst of the recession or whether they are still struggling in the first synchronized global economic downturn since the Second World War.

So far, the earnings statements that have been released have been less than upbeat. While aluminum company Alcoa Inc. reported a smaller than anticipated second quarter loss as a result of cost-cutting measures, the U.S.'s second-biggest oil company warned that its refining margins were sharply down on the first quarter. And weak sales reports from U.S. retailers and more pain in the country's labor market did little to lift the mood.

Equities rose from the middle of March until the start of June on hopes that the U.S. economy in particular will recover from recession sooner than anticipated.

But disappointing economic news over the last few weeks, culminating in last week's worse than expected U quick guaranteed personal loans.S. jobs report for June, has altered the mood prevailing among investors that a significant rebound in the U.S. was a possibility. Since peaking in early June, the Standard & Poor's 500 index and the Dow Jones industrial average have dropped around 7 percent.

U.S. stocks are expected to open lower later after muted gains Thursday.

''The Dow only just managed to scrape a positive finish and although the other major indices fared a little better, overall the final view was far from rosy,'' said Matt Buckland, a dealer at CMC Markets.

Dow futures were down 22 points, or 0.3 percent, at 8,112 while S&P futures fell 2.2 points, or 0.3 percent, to 876.70.

Elsewhere in Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 82.17, or 0.5 percent, to 17,708.42. South Korea's Kospi fell 0.2 percent and Shanghai's index shed 0.3 percent. Meanwhile, Australia's index gained 0.8 percent and Singapore's market fell 0.2 percent.

Oil prices were down in Asia, with benchmark crude for August delivery falling 35 cents to $60.06 a barrel after earlier trading below $60. The contract rose 27 cents Thursday.

The dollar dropped 0.4 percent to 92.68 yen while the euro was 0.8 percent down at $1.3905.

The dollar was not affected by comments from a Chinese official Dai Bingguo that the world needs a ''diversified and rational international reserve system.''

Geoffrey Yu, an analyst at UBS, said the remarks were direct but also highlighted the fact that China is ''treading cautiously'' in its attempt to open a debate about the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.

--------

AP Business Writer Jeremiah Marquez in Hong Kong contributed to this report.

Asian Markets Inch Higher Amid Economic Jitters

Hot News: Alcoas quarterly loss smaller than expected

Thursday, July 9, 2009

China Said to Arrest Rio Tinto Executive

BEIJING — An Australian executive from Rio Tinto, one of the world’s biggest mining companies, is being held by Chinese officials on suspicion of stealing state secrets and could be charged with espionage, an Australian government official said Wednesday and news reports indicated.

Australia’s foreign affairs minister, Stephen Smith, said at a news conference on Wednesday that the executive, Stern Hu, an Australian citizen and general manager of Rio Tinto’s iron ore business in China, could face espionage charges. He said three other Rio Tinto employees detained Sunday in Shanghai were Chinese citizens, who are more vulnerable to severe penalties, including the death penalty.

China’s official Xinhua news agency said on Thursday that four employees of the company, including the executive, Mr. Hu, had been arrested on charges of stealing state secrets, citing Shanghai’s state security authorities, Reuters reported.

In a statement on Wednesday, Rio Tinto, an Australian-British company, said: “We have been advised by the Australian government of this surprising allegation. We are not aware of any evidence that would support such an investigation.”

Mr. Smith said he did not believe that the case was related to commercial matters, or to Rio Tinto’s decision last month to scrap a planned $19.5 billion investment in the mining company by Chinalco, a state-owned Chinese company.

But analysts called the timing of the case peculiar; friction has been growing between officials in China and Australia over huge investments China has sought to make this year in Australian mining and resource companies. And Chinese steel mills are negotiating tensely with Australian iron ore producers, led by Rio Tinto, to seek price reductions.

“This could cast a chill over the business environment in China,” John Frankenstein, an associate professor of economics at Brooklyn College and a specialist in China trade, said Wednesday online payday cash loan. “People may say: ‘Do we really want to get involved in high-stakes negotiations where China’s national interests are involved? If things don’t go right, people might retaliate.’ ”

The scrapped Chinalco-Rio Tinto deal, which would have effectively expanded Chinalco’s stake in Rio to 18.5 percent from 9.3 percent, drew stiff political opposition in Australia, where mineral riches have fueled prosperity and some residents have begun to fear China’s regional power.

Charges and countercharges of espionage between China and Australia have further turned public opinion in both countries against the deal. Last April, Australian newspaper articles said Chinese intelligence agents tried to hack into Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s phone and e-mail when he was in Beijing for the Olympics in August, creating an uproar among Australian politicians and leading to calls for greater communications security. The news reports, citing unidentified Australian intelligence agents as sources, also said agents working for China had tried to hack into systems run by Rio Tinto.

China denied the reports, Mr. Rudd played them down in his comments, and the Australian government never released a statement confirming them.

After the Chinalco deal fell apart, Rio Tinto raised money through existing shareholders and a joint venture with BHP Billiton, another British-Australian mining giant. Chinese officials then complained that Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton could have near-monopoly power in some resources and that China could oppose the deal on antitrust terms.

On the Web site of Xinhua, China’s official news agency, Shanghai Securities News reported Wednesday that the case could also involve commercial bribery.

China Said to Arrest Rio Tinto Executive

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Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Asian Stock Markets Tumble as Caution Sets In

HONG KONG — The renewed caution about the precarious state of the global economy that began to stalk stock markets last week returned in full force in Asia on Tuesday, sending key indexes in Japan, Hong Kong and South Korea down more than 2.8 percent and Australia more than 3 percent.

On a day of broad declines, one stock sharply bucked the trend. Gome Electrical Appliances, one of the biggest Chinese retailers, soared nearly 70 percent in Hong Kong after the U.S. private equity fund Bain Capital confirmed Monday it was taking a stake in the company.

Trading in Gome had been suspended in November after its founder was detained by the Chinese authorities on corruption charges; Tuesday was its first day of trading in seven months.

The Straits Times index in Singapore and the Taiex in Taiwan fell 1.6 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively, the Sensex in India xx and the Shanghai composite slipped 0.1 percent.

Prospects for China’s giant economy remain good, especially compared with the grim outlooks for Europe and the United States. But even here, a senior official at the People’s Bank of China cautioned Tuesday that the foundation of the recovery was not yet solid.

That comment was the latest in a string of reality checks that have helped dampen the global stock market rally that began in mid-March.

On Monday, the World Bank added regional flesh to the bones of a revised global economic forecast it published earlier this month, when it projected the world economy would shrink 2.9 percent this year. Asia had mostly taken the report in stride on Monday, but the bank’s view that gross domestic product in high-income areas like the United States and European nations would shrink as much as 4 cash advance now.2 percent prompted major indexes in those regions to drop more than 2 percent.

Also Monday, the Organization of Cooperation and Development added its voice of gloom about the state of the global economy, and the White House predicted that U.S. unemployment would hit 10 percent in the next few months.

Although such assessments come as little surprise, they have helped take the steam out of a rally that sent many indexes soaring 40 percent or moreduring a 14-week period starting mid-March.

Analyst Patrick Bennett at Société Générale said Tuesday that the World Bank’s report had provided a “handy catalyst” for investors to take profits but did not change the fundamental economic picture.

Market watchers also said investors were taking a more cautious approach before U.S. companies’ reports of second-quarter earnings and a two-day meeting of the Federal Reserve this week. The Fed is expected to keep it benchmark interest rate at their record low levels near zero percent, but investors will pay attention to the U.S. central bank’s statements about inflation and its monetary policies.

“After such a strong rally it is to be expected that Asian markets will tread water and take a breather for a while,” Jan de Bruijn, Asia Equity Fund Manager for Threadneedle, said in a presentation in Hong Kong on Monday. “Markets have gone from being cheap at the start of the year to being close to fair value, but we have an element of comfort knowing that they are not too expensive yet.”

Asian Stock Markets Tumble as Caution Sets In

Hot News: U.S. services decline slows, but jobs still languish

Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Asia stocks up on tech, but recovery doubts dog

HONG KONG (Reuters) – Asian stocks edged up slightly on Tuesday but struggled after a slide the previous day, while the yen held gains against higher-yielding currencies as investors doubt the speed of the global economy's recovery.

A bleak U.S. jobs report last week has prompted portfolio managers to reassess how quickly economies around the world can return to growth after the deep recession, spurring a pull-back in shares and currencies such as the Australian dollar.

"Last week's U.S. employment numbers were a hint that perhaps the market had become over-optimistic," said Takahiko Murai, general manager of equities at Nozomi Securities in Tokyo.

But regional markets have held up as some early news on quarterly earnings showed technology companies faring well.

Taiwan's benchmark TAIEX index (.TWII) gained 1 percent, thanks to a 3.3 percent jump in shares of smartphone maker HTC (2498.TW) after the company reported a better-than-expected second-quarter profit.

South Korea's KOSPI (.KS11) edged up 0.4 percent after Samsung Electronics (005930.KS), the world's top maker of memory chips and flat screen TVs, forecast second-quarter earnings well above forecasts, giving the broader market a boost. Samsung's shares were up more than 8 percent in the past two days.

The yen held near a five-week peak against sterling and the New Zealand dollar as market players have cut holdings of currencies that have surged along with stocks. U.S. crude oil prices were up 15 cents a barrel at $64.20 while gold prices hovered below $930 per ounce.

In Japan, investors have poured cash into government bonds on bets that the economy's recovery from recession will be an extended one that could lead to a long stretch of deflation, pushing benchmark yields to a three-month low.

The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan edged up 0.4 percent, with technology shares the biggest gainers.

Japan's Nikkei share average (.N225) dipped 0.3 percent as a stronger yen hit exporter shares, while the Shanghai Composite (.SSEC) shed 0.7 percent after having reached a 13-month high the previous day.

China's economic resilience and splurge of bank lending to boost growth has fueled the 70 percent rally in the Shanghai Composite so far this year.

Market reaction was limited so far as hundreds of Uighur protesters clashed with Chinese anti-riot police in the capital of China's Muslim region of Xinjiang on Tuesday, two days after ethnic unrest left 156 dead and more than 800 injured cash advance no faxing.

Indian markets steadied after a slide the previous day when the government's big-spending budget for the coming fiscal year was viewed as disappointing.

The SENSEX (.BSESN) edged up 0.8 percent after a 6 percent tumble and the rupee inched higher.

But yields on five-year federal bonds jumped to 6.49 percent, taking the two-day rise to 25 basis points on worries about how the market will absorb the bigger issuance to pay for the spending that will boost the deficit to 6.8 percent of GDP.

DOLLAR STEADIES

The dollar was mostly steady and has held its ground in the past few weeks as riskier assets have stumbled, with the U.S. currency favored as a safe haven when market players strike a cautious footing.

The dollar was little changed at 95.30 yen, while the euro drifted sideways at $1.3960.

The New Zealand dollar, which has surged along with its Australian counterpart despite a much weaker economy and record low interest rates, was steady at 60.50 yen after hitting a five-week low of 59.30 yen on Monday.

The Australian dollar, the biggest gainer among major currencies this year as investors crept back into higher-yielding, higher-risk assets, edged up slightly to $0.7967 after the Reserve Bank of Australia sounded an optimistic note in keeping rates on hold at 3 percent.

Australian short-term rates are among the highest short-term rates of developed economies and one of the reasons for the Aussie's nearly 13 percent surge against the U.S. dollar this year.

"We think rates are on hold until toward the end of the year, then we'll see the process of gradually increasing rates from the end of this year, early next year," said Paul Brennan, co-head of market economics at Citigroup in Sydney.

In government bonds, longer-term Japanese government bonds extended their winning streak that has pushed yields sharply lower.

The 10-year yield edged up half a basis point to 1.305 percent after falling to 1.295 percent, the lowest since late March.

The drop in benchmark JGB yields was partly driven by investors selling short-term notes for longer-term bonds, unwinding bets that the yield curve would steepen as short-term yields have become less attractive.

Two-year JGBs were up half a basis point at 0.260 percent but were near their lowest levels in three years.

(Additional reporting by Shinichi Saoshiro in Tokyo)

(Editing by Kazunori Takada)

Asia stocks up on tech, but recovery doubts dog

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Monday, July 6, 2009

FundWatch: Investors flock high yield -- but perhaps too late

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- High-yield bond funds are enjoying a bumper year, with returns above 20%. But while investors are pouring billions in of dollars, it's likely they've missed the best returns.

High-yield bond funds were up 23% in the first six months of the year, according to preliminary figures from Morningstar Inc. The high-yield market has seen monthly yields at18-year highs since October.

But while the numbers are impressive fund managers say the coming months should see returns drop to more normal levels.

"There's been a huge rally in high-yield, with everyone re-pricing the out the depression scenario," said Fred Hoff, manager of Fidelity High Income Fund .

Hoff's fund was up 26% in the first six months of the year.

"I don't think we're going to double that return this year, though they should be very nice," he said.

Average yield on the Merrill Lynch High Yield Master II Index, a high-yield benchmark index, peaked at 21.7% in November. From October through April, yields were above 15% each month. The last time yields topped 15% was March 1991.

But monthly yields have fallen each month since February, as fears of high default rates subside, and were down to 13% in June.

High-yield funds saw monthly net outflows until December, according to research firm Lipper Inc. -- including $106 million of net outflows in November. But in the six months through May, net inflows peaked in April, at $4 billion -- the highest net inflows since April 2003. May saw $3.3 billion of net inflows.

The question is whether investors, who have started jumping into high-yield funds, realize that the yields seen late last year and early this year are likely a thing of the past.

"Anybody with outsized expectations is likely to be disappointed," said Jeff Tjornehoj, senior research analyst at Lipper. "There have been some fantastic returns, but those were historical high marks. It's unlikely we'll see those again."

Tjornehoj suggested that some investors have put cash into high-yield as the credit markets have eased and they feel more comfortable about the asset class. But that easing also means that "they've missed the best days," he said.

"Investors need to get used to lower level returns," said Hoff.

Room to run

Bill Eigen, manager of J.P. Morgan Strategic Income Opportunities Fund , a go-anywhere bond fund, said that while the high-yield bond market has recovered and yields are coming down, "high-quality high-yield still has room to run."

Eigen pointed to data that showed the average dollar price of bonds on the Merrill index currently trading in the high $70 range. While that's higher than the record-low $56.80 average seen in December, it's still only at the previous record low levels. The long-term dollar average for high-yield bonds is $91, he said, and he expects average prices to rise to the mid-to-high $80 range in the next year or two if the economy stabilizes.

"That would be six to 10 price points plus the annual coupon, which is currently a bit over 8% for the index," said Eigen.

Following the rally, "we're now merely back to historically wide spreads," said Hoff. "I still think there's great value in high-yield."

Lawrence Jones, senior mutual fund analyst at Morningstar, said that some high-yield managers have told him yields could rise in the next few months as institutional investors seek to cash in their gains and the market fundamentals are strained by a flailing economic recovery.

Lipper's Tjornehoj said that while yields could rise in the summer, he expects them to come down later in the year, when the economic recovery is in full swing.

Morningstar recommends Pimco High Yield Fund , which is up 17.4% in the first half of the year, and T. Rowe Price High-Yield Fund , which was up 25.3%.

"The high-yield fund universe is very disparate and varied," said Jones. "There are many funds that veer considerably from the 'typical' high-yield fund."

Some high-yield funds invest in bank loans and even stocks, while others stick with higher quality, BB or B bonds and stay away from CCC offerings.

The Pimco and T. Rowe funds are "fairly restrained but not excessively conservative," he added.

Jones said that while not recommended by Morningstar, he likes Harbor High-Yield Bond Fund , partly because it has a very defensive strategy. The fund was down 13.7% last year, beating 98% of funds in its category, and is up 14.1% as of June 30.

"While I expect some fits and starts in high-yield -- including the possibility of a 5% to 10% loss over the short term -- I still like high yield," given the rewards on offer, said Eigen.

FundWatch: Investors flock high yield -- but perhaps too late

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Sunday, July 5, 2009

Dollar discomfort thrust onstage for Italy summit

PARIS (Reuters) – World leaders are bound to express the hope that the worst of the global economic crisis is passing when they meet this week, but they are now under pressure, too, to manage a Chinese challenge to dollar supremacy.

Beijing, which has floated the idea of an alternative to the dollar as world reserve currency, wants the matter -- sensitive in financial markets wary of risks to U.S. asset values -- broached at a July 8-10 summit in Italy, officials say.

Leaders from the Western economic powers and Russia meet in Italy on Wednesday and are joined the day after by leaders from China, India, Brazil and others to discuss global challenges -- chief among them the worst recession in living memory.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel says not to expect any grand initiatives in Italy, largely because governments are already pumping trillions of dollars into bank stabilization and economic stimulus, and also because they have their eyes on a bigger G20 summit in the U.S. city of Pittsburgh in September.

The best the Italians can expect from the meetings in the quake-hit town of L'Aquila, economists say, is a batch of statements that commit the old and new economic powers to keep working together to contain the crisis and, once that is done, envisage new rules for a better regulated global economy.

Carl Weinberg of High Frequency Economics in New York says genuine coordination beyond carefully negotiated communiques is hard to have when governments are spending so much money to tend to their own voters and industries right now.

"In a time when fiscal budgets are stretched and deficits are reaching historic proportions, few governments will be able to find the cash to support foreigners' standards of living. Resources are need to buy jobs at home," he said.

STORM PASSING?

Summit host Silvio Berlusconi, Italy's prime minister, may find it easy enough to broker what the leaders can say about the state of the economy right now, namely that the situation may be stabilizing but the world is far from out of the woods.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development raised its economic forecasts on June 24 for the first time in two years, predicting 4.1 percent GDP contraction in the 30 mostly industrialized countries of the OECD as a whole rather than the 4.3 percent previously envisaged. It forecast a minor 0.7 percent rise in GDP next year instead of further dip.

The tension may rise in L'Aquila though, if, as sources say, Germany's Merkel presses others leaders to say in very explicit terms that they are committed to reverse quickly out of all the heavy spending and debts they have run up once the recovery starts.

Budget deficits are forecast to rise six-fold in the OECD group of countries by 2010, from 2007 levels, to 8.8 percent of GDP from 1.4 percent, the OECD's latest forecasts show.

Washington, London, Paris and Japan, to name just some, do not want to commit so hard and fast to such an "exit strategy," even if they agree to the principle. According to information gleaned from sources, Germany will push the issue but face stiff resistance to anything beyond vague commitment.

Japanese officials cited the OECD latest commentary as a pointer to the potential tenor of the statements that would be issued by G8 leaders. The OECD says fiscal stimulus should not be withdrawn at a pace that jeopardizes recovery.

The most delicate issue leaders will face in economic terms is probably China's push for alternatives to the dollar as the world's reserve currency.

The dollar lost a cent versus the euro at one stage last week when Reuters reported sources as saying Beijing wanted the matter debated.

One official, speaking anonymously, went as far as to say China might push for a reference to the matter in the published statements from the meetings.

Other sources involved in preparation of the meetings said Brazil and India backed Beijing's call for debate but there was consensus among the G8, at least, that nothing of significance could or should materialize at this stage.

If China insisted on something being put into a statement, it would surely be with references worded obscurely enough to be "meaningless," one official who spoke to Reuters said.

"In the midst of what is still a significant global recession, it's important that we aim for stability, and stability has been based on the U.S. dollar as the global currency," Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said on Friday.

Beijing, equally, has reason to move carefully, even if Zhou Xiaochuan, head of the Chinese central bank, launched the debate last March when he said the SDR, the International Monetary Fund's unit of account, might one day displace the dollar.

Some diplomats and bankers suggest Zhou's primary aim was to highlight attention on concern expressed by Premier Wen Jiabao about the safety of China's huge dollar holdings -- at risk if U.S. policy turns to greater tolerance of inflation.

Bankers reckon China holds perhaps 70 percent of its $1.95 trillion in official currency reserves in the dollar.

Marco Annunziata, economist at UniCredit bank, feels Beijing may want the issue discussed in Italy but will not push to hard.

"FX markets will of course wonder till the last minute whether the BRICs or China alone will mount a serious challenge to the dollar, but are bound to be disappointed," he said.

In L'Aquila, Italy is also pressing leaders to back a global charter for business and finance, a sprawling compendium of best practices in labor, taxation, investment and myriad other domains where international organisations have produced thousands of mostly voluntary guidelines over the decades.

Germany's Merkel wants something of the same sort but it is far from clear, officials say, that the gathering will reach anything amounting to a definitive decision on the charter the Italians calls the Lecce Framework.

(With reporting by Reuters reporters worldwide; editing by Simon Jessop)

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Saturday, July 4, 2009

European Union Proposes to Police Derivatives Trading

The European Union called on Friday for the use of clearinghouses for some over-the-counter derivative trades to “ensure they do not harm financial stability.”

As part of a response to the global economic crisis, the European Union will also study shifting more trades to exchanges and consider the creation of a data warehouse to heighten the transparency of trades and to promote the standardization of contracts, the European Commission said.

The proposals, which could lead to legislation later this year, are an attempt to cut risk in the $592 trillion over-the-counter derivatives market. President Obama released a similar plan last month that would require standardized over-the-counter derivatives to be guaranteed by clearinghouses.

“From 10,000 feet it all looks fine, but for us what matters is how it looks much closer to the ground,” Andre Allee, a derivatives lawyer at Simmons & Simmons in London, said in a telephone interview. “It’s really similar to what was proposed in the U.S. to the extent that it does look like there was coordination. Our clients are really happy with that.”

The European Union plans come after Timothy F. Geithner, the United States Treasury secretary, sent a proposal to Congressional leaders laying out his plan to police over-the-counter derivatives trading, the unregulated market where swaps based on interest rates, currencies, commodities and a company’s ability to pay back debt are exchanged.

“Derivatives markets play an important role in the economy, but the crisis has shown that they may harm financial stability,” Charlie McCreevy, the European Union financial services commissioner, said in a statement Friday.

Central counterparties “have proven their worth during the financial crisis” as illustrated by their role in managing the consequences of Lehman Brothers’ default, the commission said.

Standardization could be achieved by encouraging broader use of standard contracts and electronic affirmation and confirmation services, central storage, automation of payments and collateral management processes, the commission said.

The creation of standardized contracts will be the main problem, said Karel Lannoo, chief executive of the Center for European Policy Studies in Brussels. “There are thousands of products.”

The commission said moving trades onto exchanges would improve price transparency and strengthen risk management.

Still, the regulator said, this may “come at a cost in terms of satisfying the wide diversity of trading and risk management needs.”

Robert Pickel, chief executive of the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, said that exchanges might “remove flexibility” for banks and institutional investors.

“Forcing bilateral participants to trade on an exchange or otherwise limiting the availability of customized risk management solutions, would be a step backwards,” Mr. Pickel said in a statement.

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Friday, July 3, 2009

Asian Stocks Fall in Sign of Pullback

HONG KONG — The declines in Asia’s stock markets on Friday were more muted than those on Wall Street and in Europe on Thursday, but they illustrated the same point: That a pullback after a three-month rally that began in mid-March is in full swing as investors take a more realistic view of the economic challenges ahead.

The Nikkei 225 index in Japan, the Straits Times in Singapore and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong were all about 1 percent lower by late morning.

Seven & I Holdings, a leading Japanese retailer, registered the biggest decline on the Nikkei 225 with a fall of 6.3 percent after it reported a sharp drop in first-quarter profits.

Elsewhere in the region, the declines were smaller: the Kospi, South Korea’s main index, slipped 0.1 percent, while in mainland China the Shanghai composite was nearly flat.

Still, the declines in Asia illustrated a sense of sobriety that has returned to the global markets since late June, after a remarkable rise that sent many of the world’s stock indexes up 40 percent in just 14 weeks.

Much of this comes amid clear signals that the world economy has, for the time being, merely stabilized, and that actual recovery is likely to be feeble and fraught with major obstacles.

Jobs data from the United States on Thursday hammered home this message and sent stocks on Wall Street sharply lower.

The U.S. Labor Department reported that the economy lost 467,000 jobs last month — much more than economists had expected — and that the unemployment rate rose to 9.5 percent, the highest it has been since August 1983.

The Dow Jones industrial average sagged 2.6 percent and the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index fell nearly 3 percent. Key European markets also ended Thursday sharply lower.

The United States markets are closed on Friday for a national holiday.

Asian Stocks Fall in Sign of Pullback

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Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Oil, manufacturing data boosts Wall Street

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Stocks rose on Wednesday as manufacturing data from key global economies pointed to improving economic conditions.

The data lifted natural resource and energy stocks as oil and commodities prices rose, helped by a weaker U.S. dollar.

U.S. manufacturing was slightly stronger in June and up from May, according to the Institute of Supply Management. Similar surveys from Europe also showed manufacturing contracting less than initially thought or in China's case, growing modestly.

"The energy and basic material stocks are leading the market higher this morning on a weaker dollar and strength in the Chinese manufacturing," said Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist at RDM Financial in Westport, Connecticut.

Crude oil futures climbed more than 1.6 percent back above $71 per barrel, helping shares of Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N), up 1.8 percent to $71.14, and Chevron Corp (CVX.N) up 2 percent to $67.57.

Stronger manufacturing PMI data from China boosted metal prices and helped shares in natural resource companies like Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc (FCX.N), up 3.8 percent to $52.97, and Alcoa Inc (AA.N), up 1.3 percent to $10.46.

The data also offset figures from the ADP payroll report on Wednesday that showed a U.S. economy still struggling as private employers cut 473,000 jobs in June -- more than the 393,000 cuts expected from a Reuters survey but down from the 485,000 jobs lost in May.

The Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) gained 127.95 points, or 1.51 percent, to 8,574.95. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index (.SPX) rose 12.08 points, or 1.31 percent, to 931.40. The Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC) added 25.82 points, or 1.41 percent, to 1,860.86.

(Editing by Padraic Cassidy)

Oil, manufacturing data boosts Wall Street

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